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The evolution of epidemiological parameters, such as instantaneous reproduction number Rt, is important for understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Current estimates of time-varying epidemiological parameters often…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-26 Xian Yang , Shuo Wang , Yuting Xing , Ling Li , Richard Yi Da Xu , Karl J. Friston , Yike Guo

Threshold-driven models and game theory are two fundamental paradigms for describing human interactions in social systems. However, in mimicking social contagion processes, models that simultaneously incorporate these two mechanisms have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-22 Xincheng Shu , Man Yang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Qi Xuan

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

In simulations of fluid motion time accuracy has proven to be elusive. We seek highly accurate methods with strong enough stability properties to deal with the richness of scales of many flows. These methods must also be easy to implement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Victor DeCaria , Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , William J. Layton

Network structure can affect when and how widely new ideas, products, and behaviors are adopted. In widely-used models of biological contagion, interventions that randomly rewire edges (on average making them "longer") accelerate spread.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Dean Eckles , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian , Subhabrata Sen

The spread of traffic jams in urban networks has long been viewed as a complex spatio-temporal phenomenon that often requires computationally intensive microscopic models for analysis purposes. In this study, we present a framework to…

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

In this paper we consider a model based on branching process theory for the proliferation and the dissemination network of T cells in the adaptive immune response. A multi-type Galton Watson branching process is assumed as the basic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-09 Alessandro Boianelli , Antonio Vicino

Models of threshold driven contagion explain the cascading spread of information, behavior, systemic risk, and epidemics on social, financial and biological networks. At odds with empirical observation, these models predict that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

We introduce graph gamma process (GGP) linear dynamical systems to model real-valued multivariate time series. For temporal pattern discovery, the latent representation under the model is used to decompose the time series into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Rahi Kalantari , Mingyuan Zhou

In this paper, we proposed a new lifetime distribution namely generalized weighted Lindley (GLW) distribution. The GLW distribution is a useful generalization of the weighted Lindley distribution, which accommodates increasing, decreasing,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 P. L. Ramos , F. Louzada

Understanding how the collective activity of neural populations relates to computation and ultimately behavior is a key goal in neuroscience. To this end, statistical methods which describe high-dimensional neural time series in terms of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Amber Hu , David Zoltowski , Aditya Nair , David Anderson , Lea Duncker , Scott Linderman

In this paper, we introduce a general framework for co-infection as cooperative SIR dynamics. We first solve analytically CGCG model [1] and then the generalized model in symmetric scenarios. We calculate transition points, order parameter,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Fatemeh Zarei , Saman Moghimi-Araghi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Rule-based models have been successfully used to represent different aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including age, testing, hospitalisation, lockdowns, immunity, infectivity, behaviour, mobility and vaccination of individuals. These…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-25 David Alonso , Steffen Bauer , Markus Kirkilionis , Lisa Maria Kreusser , Luca Sbano

Threshold models try to explain the consequences of social influence like the spread of fads and opinions. Along with models of epidemics, they constitute a major theoretical framework of social spreading processes. In threshold models on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-27 Fariba Karimi , Petter Holme

In this paper, we first propose a diffusive pathogen infection model with general incidence rate which incorporates cell-to-cell transmission. By applying the theory of monotone dynamical systems, we prove that the model admits the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Shohel Ahmed

Typically, contagion strength is modeled by a transmission rate $\lambda$, whereby all nodes in a network are treated uniformly in a mean-field approximation. However, local agents react differently to the same contagion based on their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Pouya Manshour , Afshin Montakhab