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We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

We consider statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses, under the assumption that a suitable single test (and corresponding $p$-value) is known for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-10 Gilles Blanchard , Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

We propose a new method for predicting multiple missing links in partially observed networks while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), a largely unresolved challenge in network analysis. The main difficulty lies in handling complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Wenqin Du , Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Wen Zhou

Multiple tests are designed to test a whole collection of null hypotheses simultaneously. Their quality is often judged by the false discovery rate (FDR), i.e. the expectation of the quotient of the number of false rejections divided by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Julia Benditkis , Philipp Heesen , Arnold Janssen

We study the properties of false discovery rate (FDR) thresholding, viewed as a classification procedure. The "0"-class (null) is assumed to have a known density while the "1"-class (alternative) is obtained from the "0"-class either by…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-06 Pierre Neuvial , Etienne Roquain

Active learning is a branch of machine learning that deals with problems where unlabeled data is abundant yet obtaining labels is expensive. The learning algorithm has the possibility of querying a limited number of samples to obtain the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-09-04 Hugo Cui , Luca Saglietti , Lenka Zdeborová

This work studies decentralized novelty detection with global false discovery rate (FDR) control across heterogeneous composite null distributions, without sharing the raw data due to privacy and bandwidth considerations. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kyle Loh , Yu Xiang

We study non-adaptive pooling strategies for detection of rare faulty items. Given a binary sparse N-dimensional signal x, how to construct a sparse binary MxN pooling matrix F such that the signal can be reconstructed from the smallest…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Pan Zhang , Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , Lenka Zdeborová

The last decade has seen an explosion in data sources available for the monitoring and prediction of environmental phenomena. While several inferential methods have been developed that make predictions on the underlying process by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Eun-Hye Yoo , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael G. Chipeta

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) method has recently been described by Miller et al (2001), along with several examples of astrophysical applications. FDR is a new statistical procedure due to Benjamini and Hochberg (1995) for controlling the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. M. Hopkins , C. J. Miller , A. J. Connolly , C. Genovese , R. C. Nichol , L. Wasserman

The False Discovery Rate (FDR) paradigm aims to attain certain control on Type I errors with relatively high power for multiple hypothesis testing. The Benjamini--Hochberg (BH) procedure is a well-known FDR controlling procedure. Under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Zhiyi Chi

Model selection/optimization in conformal inference is challenging, since it may break the exchangeability between labeled and unlabeled data. We study this problem in the context of conformal selection, which uses conformal p-values to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Tian Bai , Ying Jin

This paper considers real-time control and learning problems for finite-dimensional linear systems under binary-valued and randomly disturbed output observations. This has long been regarded as an open problem because the exact values of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Lantian Zhang , Lei Guo

In the online multiple testing problem, p-values corresponding to different null hypotheses are observed one by one, and the decision of whether or not to reject the current hypothesis must be made immediately, after which the next p-value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Aaditya Ramdas , Fanny Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

The identification of the dependent components in multiple data sets is a fundamental problem in many practical applications. The challenge in these applications is that often the data sets are high-dimensional with few observations or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Martin Gölz , Tanuj Hasija , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Large-scale multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional statistical inference. It is increasingly common that various types of auxiliary information, reflecting the structural relationship among the hypotheses, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Jun Chen , Xianyang Zhang

This research deals with massive multiple hypothesis testing. First regarding multiple tests as an estimation problem under a proper population model, an error measurement called Erroneous Rejection Ratio (ERR) is introduced and related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cheng Cheng

Recently there has been much work on selective sampling, an online active learning setting, in which algorithms work in rounds. On each round an algorithm receives an input and makes a prediction. Then, it can decide whether to query a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in matched observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explore evidence for actual treatment effects among these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Mengqi Lin , Colin Fogarty

Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari