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In the Dynamic Resource Allocation (DRA) problem, an administrator has to allocate a limited amount of resources to the nodes of a network in order to reduce a diffusion process (DP) (e.g. an epidemic). In this paper we propose a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Mathilde Fekom , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant changes in how people are currently living their lives. To determine how to best reduce the effects of the pandemic and start reopening societies, governments have drawn insights from…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-08 Heather Z. Brooks , Unchitta Kanjanasaratool , Yacoub H. Kureh , Mason A. Porter

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

Predicting Pandemic evolution involves complex modeling challenges, often requiring detailed discrete mathematics executed on large volumes of epidemiological data. Differential equations have the advantage of offering smooth, well-behaved…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Clara Bender , Abhimanyu Ghosh , Hamed Vakili , Preetam Ghosh , Avik W. Ghosh

Typically, mathematical simulation studies on COVID-19 pandemic forecasting are based on deterministic differential equations which assume that both the number ($n$) of individuals in various epidemiological classes and the time ($t$) on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Ioan Baldea

In the context of epidemiology, policies for disease control are often devised through a mixture of intuition and brute-force, whereby the set of logically conceivable policies is narrowed down to a small family described by a few…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Miguel Navascues , Costantino Budroni , Yelena Guryanova

One of the most important branches of nonlinear control theory is the so-called sliding-mode. Its aim is the design of a (nonlinear) feedback law that brings and maintains the state trajectory of a dynamic system on a given sliding surface.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

The effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic is one the most challenging issues of nowadays. The design of optimal control policies is perplexed from a variety of social, political, economical and epidemiological factors. Here, based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Antonis Armaou , Bryce Katch , Lucia Russo , Constantinos Siettos

Data-driven control offers a powerful alternative to traditional model-based methods, particularly when accurate system models are unavailable or prohibitively complex. While existing data-driven control methods primarily aim to construct…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-12 Janina Schaa , Thomas Berger

This paper presents a discrete time probabilistic dynamic for simulating a contact-based epidemic spreading based on discrete time Markov chain process, in particular the attention is addressed to the susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-22 Fabrizio Angaroni

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly challenged traditional epidemiological models due to factors such as delayed diagnosis, asymptomatic transmission, isolation-induced contact changes, and underreported mortality. In response to these…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-10 Wenchen Liu , Chang Liu , Dehui Wang , Yiyuan She

COVID-19 pandemic is severely impacting the lives of billions across the globe. Even after taking massive protective measures like nation-wide lockdowns, discontinuation of international flight services, rigorous testing etc., the infection…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-28 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

This paper is concerned with the design of intermittent non-pharmaceutical strategies to mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic exploiting network epidemiological models. Specifically, by studying a variational equation for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-14 Marco Coraggio , Shihao Xie , Francesco De Lellis , Giovanni Russo , Mario di Bernardo

We propose a data-driven control method for systems with aleatoric uncertainty, for example, robot fleets with variations between agents. Our method leverages shared trajectory data to increase the robustness of the designed controller and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Alexander von Rohr , Dmitrii Likhachev , Sebastian Trimpe

Since the beginning of the epidemic, daily reports of CoViD-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from around the world have been publicly available. This paper describes methods to characterize broad features of the spread of the disease,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Dean Karlen

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

It is critical to understand and model the behavior of individuals in a pandemic, as well as identify effective ways to guide people's behavior in order to better control the epidemic spread. However, current research fails to account for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko