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COVID-19 has shown a relatively low mortality rate in young healthy individuals, with the majority of this group being asymptomatic or having mild symptoms, while the severity of the disease among individuals with underlying health…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Dario Ortega Anderez , Eiman Kanjo , Ganna Pogrebna , Shane Johnson , John Alan Hunt

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been continuously affecting human lives and communities around the world in many ways, from cities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Ashkan Ebadi , Pengcheng Xi , Stéphane Tremblay , Bruce Spencer , Raman Pall , Alexander Wong

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then increased rapidly with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Shashank Reddy Vadyala , Sai Nethra Betgeri , Eric A. Sherer , Amod Amritphale

The ongoing COVID-19 global pandemic is affecting every facet of human lives (e.g., public health, education, economy, transportation, and the environment). This novel pandemic and citywide implemented lockdown measures are affecting virus…

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve policy making. The extremely large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yangyi Zhang , Sui Tang , Guo Yu

Forecasting new cases, hospitalizations, and disease-induced deaths is an important part of infectious disease surveillance and helps guide health officials in implementing effective countermeasures. For disease surveillance in the U.S.,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-22 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Lucas Böttcher

Between the years 2020 to 2022, the world was hit by the pandemic of COVID-19 giving rise to an extremely grave situation. The global economy was badly hurt due to the consequences of various intervention strategies (like social distancing,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-28 Sourav Chowdhury , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have major impact to health and medical infrastructure, economy, and agriculture. Prominent computational and mathematical models have been unreliable due to the complexity of the spread of infections.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Rohitash Chandra , Ayush Jain , Divyanshu Singh Chauhan

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

The estimate of the remaining time of an ongoing wave of epidemic spreading is a critical issue. Due to the variations of a wide range of parameters in an epidemic, for simple models such as Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, it is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-12 Anvesh Reddy , Hanesh Koganti , Sai Krishna , Suhas Reddy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Many countries are now experiencing the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic straining the healthcare resources with an acute shortage of hospital beds and ventilators for the critically ill patients. This situation is especially worse in…

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

A short introduction to survival analysis and censored data is included in this paper. A thorough literature review in the field of cure models has been done. An overview on the most important and recent approaches on parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Maria Pedrosa-Laza , Ana López-Cheda , Ricardo Cao

The emergence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has generated a need to quickly and accurately assemble up-to-date information related to its spread. While it is possible to use deaths to provide a reliable information feed, the latency…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-16 Conor Rosato , Robert E. Moore , Matthew Carter , John Heap , Jose Storopoli , Simon Maskell

This study investigated the performance, explainability, and robustness of deployed artificial intelligence (AI) models in predicting mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. The first study of its kind, we found that Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jacob R. Epifano , Stephen Glass , Ravi P. Ramachandran , Sharad Patel , Aaron J. Masino , Ghulam Rasool

In this paper, we propose a machine learning technics and SIR models (deterministic and stochastic cases) with numerical approximations to predict the number of cases infected with the COVID-19, for both in few days and the following three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye , Lena Tendeng , Diaraf Seck

In a given country, the cumulative death toll of the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic follows a sigmoid curve as a function of time. In most cases, the curve is well described by the Gompertz function, which is characterized by two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Kristoffer Rypdal , Martin Rypdal

This study proposed a novel framework for COVID-19 severity prediction, which is a combination of data-centric and model-centric approaches. First, we propose a data-centric pre-training for extremely scare data scenarios of the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-08 Nam Nguyen , J. Morris Chang

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

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