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Satellite-derived data products and climate model simulations of geophysical variables like precipitation, often exhibit systematic biases compared to in-situ measurements. Bias correction and spatial downscaling are fundamental components…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Sumanta Chandra Mishra Sharma , Adway Mitra , Auroop Ratan Ganguly

Deep learning techniques have been shown to be extremely effective for various classification and regression problems, but quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions and separating them into the epistemic and aleatoric fractions is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Augustin Prado , Ravinath Kausik , Lalitha Venkataramanan

For real-life nonlinear systems, the exact form of nonlinearity is often not known and the known governing equations are often based on certain assumptions and approximations. Such representation introduced model-form error into the system.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-20 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty , Budhaditya Hazra

Machine learning has affected the way in which many phenomena for various domains are modelled, one of these domains being that of structural dynamics. However, because machine-learning algorithms are problem-specific, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 G. Tsialiamanis , N. Dervilis , D. J. Wagg , K. Worden

This article presents a rigorous analysis for efficient statistically accurate algorithms for solving the Fokker-Planck equations associated with high-dimensional nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems with conditional Gaussian structures.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

This paper presents an automated machine learning framework designed to assist hydrologists in detecting anomalies in time series data generated by sensors in a research watershed in the northeastern United States critical zone. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Ijaz Ul Haq , Byung Suk Lee , Donna M. Rizzo , Julia N Perdrial

Low-dimensional chaotic systems such as the Lorenz-63 model are commonly used to benchmark system-agnostic methods for learning dynamics from data. Here we show that learning from noise-free observations in such systems can be achieved up…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-15 Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

The identification of a nonlinear dynamic model is an open topic in control theory, especially from sparse input-output measurements. A fundamental challenge of this problem is that very few to zero prior knowledge is available on both the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Steeven Janny , Quentin Possamai , Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Christian Wolf

Controlling nonlinear dynamical systems using machine learning allows to not only drive systems into simple behavior like periodicity but also to more complex arbitrary dynamics. For this, it is crucial that a machine learning system can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Alexander Haluszczynski , Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth

The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

Multiscale modeling of complex systems is crucial for understanding their intricacies. Data-driven multiscale modeling has emerged as a promising approach to tackle challenges associated with complex systems. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Ruyi Tao , Ningning Tao , Yi-zhuang You , Jiang Zhang

The multiscale and turbulent nature of Earth's atmosphere has historically rendered accurate weather modeling a hard problem. Recently, there has been an explosion of interest surrounding data-driven approaches to weather modeling, which in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-08 Seth Minor , Daniel A. Messenger , Vanja Dukic , David M. Bortz

Extracting predictive models from nonlinear systems is a central task in scientific machine learning. One key problem is the reconciliation between modern data-driven approaches and first principles. Despite rapid advances in machine…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-03 Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh , Eric Forgoston

Modern generative machine learning models demonstrate surprising ability to create realistic outputs far beyond their training data, such as photorealistic artwork, accurate protein structures, or conversational text. These successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 William Gilpin

Recently, machine learning techniques, particularly deep learning, have demonstrated superior performance over traditional time series forecasting methods across various applications, including both single-variable and multi-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Huaiyuan Rao , Yichen Zhao , Qiang Lai

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Mathematical modeling is an essential step, for example, to analyze the transient behavior of a dynamical process and to perform engineering studies such as optimization and control. With the help of first-principles and expert knowledge, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

A new technique for obtaining rigorous results concerning the global dynamics of nonlinear systems is described. The technique combines abstract existence results based on the Conley index theory with computer- assisted computations. As an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Konstantin Mischaikow , Marian Mrozek
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