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In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

Diffusion and flow-based non-autoregressive (NAR) models have shown strong promise in large language modeling, however, their potential for automatic speech recognition (ASR) remains largely unexplored. We propose Drax, a discrete flow…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Aviv Navon , Aviv Shamsian , Neta Glazer , Yael Segal-Feldman , Gill Hetz , Joseph Keshet , Ethan Fetaya

We introduce a new paradigm for AutoRegressive (AR) image generation, termed Set AutoRegressive Modeling (SAR). SAR generalizes the conventional AR to the next-set setting, i.e., splitting the sequence into arbitrary sets containing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Wenze Liu , Le Zhuo , Yi Xin , Sheng Xia , Peng Gao , Xiangyu Yue

Traffic flow prediction is widely used in travel decision making, traffic control, roadway system planning, business sectors, and government agencies. ARX models have proved to be highly effective and versatile. In this research, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Jun Ying , Xin Dong , Bowei Li , Zihan Tian

In large-scale systems, complex internal relationships are often present. Such interconnected systems can be effectively described by low rank stochastic processes. When identifying a predictive model of low rank processes from sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Wenqi Cao , Aming Li

This work introduces a novel approach for the joint selection of model structure and parameter learning for nonlinear dynamical systems identification. Focusing on a specific Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) family, i.e., Nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Corrado Sgadari , Alessio La Bella , Marcello Farina

The goal of this work is to accelerate the identification of an unknown ARX system from trajectory data through online input design. Specifically, we present an active learning algorithm that sequentially selects the input to excite the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Bowen Song , Philipp Rank , Andrea Iannelli

In this paper we propose an identification method for latent-variable graphical models associated to autoregressive (AR) Gaussian stationary processes. The identification procedure exploits the approximation of AR processes through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

Analysis and synthesis of safety-critical autonomous systems are carried out using models which are often dynamic. Two central features of these dynamic systems are parameters and unmodeled dynamics. This paper addresses the use of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-17 Arnab Sarker , Peter Fisher , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

Continuous visual autoregressive (AR) models have demonstrated promising performance in image generation. However, the heavy autoregressive inference burden imposes significant overhead. In Large Language Models (LLMs), speculative decoding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zili Wang , Robert Zhang , Kun Ding , Qi Yang , Fei Li , Shiming Xiang

This paper deals with the compensation of nonlinearities in dynamical systems using nonlinear polynomial autoregressive models with exogenous inputs (NARX). The compensation approach is formulated for static and dynamical contexts, as well…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-25 Lucas A. Tavares , Petrus E. O. G. B. Abreu , Luis A. Aguirre

This paper proposes a recursive interval-valued estimation framework for identifying the parameters of linearly parameterized systems which may be slowly time-varying. It is assumed that the model error (which may consist in measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Laurent Bako , Seydi Ndiaye , Eric Blanco

Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that monitor metrics in order to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. However, a scarcity of labeled data and ambiguous definitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Lawrence Wong , Dongyu Liu , Laure Berti-Equille , Sarah Alnegheimish , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

As the labor force decreases, the demand for labor-saving automatic anomalous sound detection technology that conducts maintenance of industrial equipment has grown. Conventional approaches detect anomalies based on the reconstruction…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-20 Kaori Suefusa , Tomoya Nishida , Harsh Purohit , Ryo Tanabe , Takashi Endo , Yohei Kawaguchi

Recent advances have demonstrated the possibility of solving the deconvolution problem without prior knowledge of the noise distribution. In this paper, we study the repeated measurements model, where information is derived from multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Jérémie Capitao-Miniconi , Elisabeth Gassiat , Luc Lehéricy

This note considers the spectral estimation problems of sparse spectral measures under unknown noise levels. The main technical tool is the eigenmatrix method for solving unstructured sparse recovery problems. When the noise level is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Lexing Ying

In this paper we generalize three identification recursive algorithms belonging to the pseudo-linear class, by introducing a predictor established on a generalized orthonormal function basis. Contrary to the existing identification schemes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-14 Bernard Vau , Henri Bourlès

Existing methods of vector autoregressive model for multivariate time series analysis make use of low-rank matrix approximation or Tucker decomposition to reduce the dimension of the over-parameterization issue. In this paper, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Sijia Xia , Michael K. Ng , Xiongjun Zhang