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Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

In this paper, we develop an efficient numerical solver for unsteady diffusion-type partial differential equations with random coefficients. A major computational challenge in such problems lies in repeatedly handling large-scale linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Yujun Zhu , Min Li , Yulan Ning , Ju Ming

We describe an approximate statistical model for the sample variance distribution of the non-linear matter power spectrum that can be calibrated from limited numbers of simulations. Our model retains the common assumption of a multivariate…

Non linear regression models are a standard tool for modeling real phenomena, with several applications in machine learning, ecology, econometry... Estimating the parameters of the model has garnered a lot of attention during many years. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Peggy Cénac , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

This paper considers the problem of steering the state distribution of a nonlinear stochastic system from an initial Gaussian to a terminal distribution with a specified mean and covariance, subject to probabilistic path constraints. An…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Jack Ridderhof , Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

In stochastic processes with absorbing states, the quasi-stationary distribution provides valuable insights into the long-term behaviour prior to absorption. In this work, we revisit two well-established numerical methods for its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 Sara Oliver-Bonafoux , Javier Aguilar , Tobias Galla , Raúl Toral

We propose a correlated stochastic process of which the novel non-Gaussian probability mass function is constructed by exactly solving moment generating function. The calculation of cumulants and auto-correlation shows that the process is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Junghyo Jo

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

In this paper, we propose a stochastic search algorithm for solving general optimization problems with little structure. The algorithm iteratively finds high quality solutions by randomly sampling candidate solutions from a parameterized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Enlu Zhou , Jiaqiao Hu

Random point patterns are ubiquitous in nature, and statistical models such as point processes, i.e., algorithms that generate stochastic collections of points, are commonly used to simulate and interpret them. We propose an application of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 Soran Jahangiri , Juan Miguel Arrazola , Nicolás Quesada , Nathan Killoran

We propose a universal approach for analysis and fast simulations of stiff stochastic biochemical kinetics networks, which rests on elimination of fast chemical species without a loss of information about mesoscopic, non-Poissonian…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-07 N. A. Sinitsyn , Nicolas Hengartner , Ilya Nemenman

We describe a new, surprisingly simple algorithm, that simulates exact sample paths of a class of stochastic differential equations. It involves rejection sampling and, when applicable, returns the location of the path at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth O. Roberts

Even in large systems, the effect of noise arising from when populations are initially small can persist to be measurable on the macroscale. A deterministic approximation to a stochastic model will fail to capture this effect, but it can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Dylan Morris , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

A practical introduction to stochastic modelling of reaction-diffusion processes is presented. No prior knowledge of stochastic simulations is assumed. The methods are explained using illustrative examples. The article starts with the…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Radek Erban , Jonathan Chapman , Philip Maini

The existing literature on stochastic simulation of chemical reaction networks has a tendency to move as quickly as possible to the abstract formulation of the stochastic dynamics in terms of probabilities based on the concept of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergey Plyasunov

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu
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