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An empirical model is a generalization of a probability space. It consists of a simplicial complex of subsets of a class X of random variables such that each simplex has an associated probability distribution. The ensuing marginalizations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-01 Rodrigo Iglesias , Fernando Tohmé , Marcelo Auday

Beginning with the Bell theorem, cyclic systems of dichotomous random variables have been the object of many foundational findings in quantum mechanics. Here, we ask the question: if one chooses a cyclic system "at random" (uniformly within…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-14 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala , Víctor H. Cervantes

In quantum mechanics, not everything that can be observed can be observed simultaneously. Observational data exhibits \emph{contextuality} -- a generalisation of nonlocality -- if the result of an observation is necessarily dependent on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Ask Ellingsen

From behavioral sciences to biology to quantum mechanics, one encounters situations where (i) a system outputs several random variables in response to several inputs, (ii) for each of these responses only some of the inputs may "directly"…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 E. N. Dzhafarov , J. V. Kujala

We study the role of context, complex of physical conditions, in quantum as well as classical experiments. It is shown that by taking into account contextual dependence of experimental probabilities we can derive the quantum rule for the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-07 Andrei Khrennikov

Contextuality is a defining feature that separates the quantum from the classical descriptions of physical systems. Within the marginal-scenario framework, noncontextual models are characterized by the existence of a single joint…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Andrea Navoni , Marco G. Genoni , Andrea Smirne

The ideas of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are widely used to reason about the probabilistic predictions of machine-learning models. We identify incoherence in existing discussions of these ideas and suggest this stems from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Freddie Bickford Smith , Jannik Kossen , Eleanor Trollope , Mark van der Wilk , Adam Foster , Tom Rainforth

The notion of (non)contextuality pertains to sets of properties measured one subset (context) at a time. We extend this notion to include so-called inconsistently connected systems, in which the measurements of a given property in different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-11-17 Janne V. Kujala , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Jan-Åke Larsson

We describe a mathematical language for determining all possible patterns of contextuality in the dependence of stochastic outputs of a system on its deterministic inputs. The central notion is that of all possible couplings for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

The non-classicality of single quantum systems can be formalised using the notion of contextuality. But can contextuality be convincingly demonstrated in an experiment, without reference to the quantum formalism? The operational approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-19 Matthew F. Pusey , Lídia del Rio , Bettina Meyer

Identifying when observed statistics cannot be explained by any reasonable classical model is a central problem in quantum foundations. A principled and universally applicable approach to defining and identifying nonclassicality is given by…

We present a formal theory of contextuality for a set of random variables grouped into different subsets (contexts) corresponding to different, mutually incompatible conditions. Within each context the random variables are jointly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-01 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala , Jan-Åke Larsson

Though the ability of human beings to deal with probabilities has been put into question, the assessment of rarity is a crucial competence underlying much of human decision-making and is pervasive in spontaneous narrative behaviour. This…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-08-25 Jean-Louis Dessalles

Note: Published now as a chapter in "Handbook of the History and Philosophy of Mathematical Practice" (Springer Nature, editor B. Sriraman, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19071-2_105-1). The application of mathematical probability theory…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-11-21 Christian Hennig

This paper examines the foundational concept of random variables in probability theory and statistical inference, demonstrating that their mathematical definition requires no reference to randomization or hypothetical repeated sampling. We…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paul W. Vos

The Contextuality-by-Default theory is illustrated on contextuality analysis of the idealized double-slit experiment. The experiment is described by a system of contextually labeled binary random variables each of which answers the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-01-24 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

One can often encounter claims that classical (Kolmogorovian) probability theory cannot handle, or even is contradicted by, certain empirical findings or substantive theories. This note joins several previous attempts to explain that these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Maria Kon

We explore the graph approach to contextuality to restate the extended definition of noncontextuality as given by J. Kujala et. al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 115, 150401 (2015)] using graph-theoretical terms. This extended definition avoids the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Barbara Amaral , Cristhiano Duarte , Roberto I. Oliveira

According to a standard view, quantum mechanics (QM) is a contextual theory and quantum probability does not satisfy Kolmogorov's axioms. We show, by considering the macroscopic contexts associated with measurement procedures and the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-24 Claudio Garola

Recently there has been much interest and progress in extending the definition of contextuality to systems with disturbance. We prove that such an endeavor cannot simultaneously satisfy the following principles: (1) any deterministic system…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Alisson Tezzin , Elie Wolfe , Barbara Amaral , Matt Jones