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Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Gaussian process are a widely-used statistical tool for conducting non-parametric inference in applied sciences, with many computational packages available to fit to data and predict future observations. We study the use of the Greta…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-31 Eva Gunn , Nikhil Sengupta , Ben Swallow

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

Passive and non-obtrusive health monitoring using wearables can potentially bring new insights into the user's health status throughout the day and may support clinical diagnosis and treatment. However, identifying segments of free-living…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-31 Yordan P. Raykov , Luc J. W. Evers , Reham Badawy , Marjan J. Faber , Bastiaan R. Bloem , Kasper Claes , Max A. Little

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Learning uncertain dynamics models using Gaussian process~(GP) regression has been demonstrated to enable high-performance and safety-aware control strategies for challenging real-world applications. Yet, for computational tractability,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Manish Prajapat , Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Andreas Krause , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is shown to be effective for learning unknown dynamics, enabling efficient and safety-aware control strategies across diverse applications. However, existing GP-based model predictive control (GP-MPC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Manish Prajapat , Johannes Köhler , Amon Lahr , Andreas Krause , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A Alvarez , Neil D Lawrence

Dengue, a mosquito-borne disease, continues to pose a persistent public health challenge in urban areas, particularly in tropical regions such as Singapore. Effective and affordable control requires anticipating where transmission risks are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Liping Huang , Gaoxi Xiao , Stefan Ma , Hechang Chen , Shisong Tang , Flora Salim

Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) is a popular approach to scale GP to big data which divides the training data into some subsets, performs local inference for each partition, and aggregates the results to acquire global prediction. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci

It is possible to model vector-borne infection using the classical Ross-Macdonald model. This attempt, however fails in several respects. First, using measured (or estimated) parameters, the model predicts a much greater number of cases…

Dengue is one of the most important infectious diseases in the world, in terms of death and economic cost. Hence, the modeling of dengue is of great importance to help us understand the dynamics disease, and interfering with its spreading…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-28 Sylvestre Aureliano Carvalho , Stella Olívia da Silva , Iraziet da Cunha Charret

Passive monitoring in daily life may provide invaluable insights about a person's health throughout the day. Wearable sensor devices are likely to play a key role in enabling such monitoring in a non-obtrusive fashion. However, sensor data…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Yordan P. Raykov , Luc J. W. Evers , Reham Badawy , Bastiaan Bloem , Tom M. Heskes , Marjan Meinders , Kasper Claes , Max A. Little

A dramatic increase in the number of outbreaks of Dengue has recently been reported, and climate change is likely to extend the geographical spread of the disease. In this context, this paper shows how a neural network approach can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-09 Paula Bergero , Laura P. Schaposnik , Grace Wang

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery