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Conditions are obtained for a Gaussian vector autoregressive time series of order $k$, VAR($k$), to have univariate margins that are autoregressive of order $k$ or lower-dimensional margins that are also VAR($k$). This can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Lin Zhang , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde

Tensor-valued data are being encountered increasingly more commonly, in the biological, natural as well as the social sciences. The learning of the unknown model parameter vector given such data, involves covariance modelling of such data,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

Constructions in type-driven compositional distributional semantics associate large collections of matrices of size $D$ to linguistic corpora. We develop the proposal of analysing the statistical characteristics of this data in the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-01-29 Sanjaye Ramgoolam , Mehrnoosh Sadrzadeh , Lewis Sword

Researchers regularly perform conditional prediction using imputed values of missing data. However, applications of imputation often lack a firm foundation in statistical theory. This paper originated when we were unable to find analysis…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-24 Charles F Manski , Michael Gmeiner , Anat Tamburc

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

We propose a new and intuitive metric for aleatoric uncertainty quantification (UQ), the prevalence of class collisions defined as the same input being observed in different classes. We use the rate of class collisions to define the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Jesse Friedbaum , Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

Matrix factor model is drawing growing attention for simultaneous two-way dimension reduction of well-structured matrix-valued observations. This paper focuses on robust statistical inference for matrix factor model in the ``diverging…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Yong He , Xin-Bing Kong , Dong Liu , Ran Zhao

The estimation of causal treatment effects from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. To avoid bias, the effect estimator must control for all confounders. Hence practitioners often collect data for as many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz-Rogozhnikov , Karthik Shanmugam

For time series with long-range temporal dependence, inference for covariance and precision matrices is non-trivial. We propose a Berry-Esseen type Gaussian approximation result that gives a finite-sample bound for the Kolmogorov distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Percy S. Zhai , Mladen Kolar , Wei Biao Wu

We present a method to estimate non-Gaussian power spectrum covariance matrices by directly measuring the response of the small-scale power spectrum to long-wavelength perturbations via bispectrum and trispectrum estimators. Specifically,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-21 Samuel Goldstein , Kendrick M. Smith , Utkarsh Giri , Moritz Münchmeyer

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

In this paper we recast the problem of missing values in the covariates of a regression model as a latent Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model in a fully Bayesian framework. Our proposed approach is based on the definition of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-24 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Michela Cameletti , Marta Blangiardo

Starting from concentration of measure hypotheses on $m$ random vectors $Z_1,\ldots, Z_m$, this article provides an expression of the concentration of functionals $\phi(Z_1,\ldots, Z_m)$ where the variations of $\phi$ on each variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet

The pseudo-observation method is regularly applied to time-to-event data. However, to date such analyses have relied on not formally verified statements or ad-hoc methods regarding covariance estimation. This paper strives to close this gap…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Simon Mack , Morten Overgaard , Dennis Dobler

We propose an l1-regularized likelihood method for estimating the inverse covariance matrix in the high-dimensional multivariate normal model in presence of missing data. Our method is based on the assumption that the data are missing at…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann

We prove concentration inequalities for several models of non-linear random matrices. As corollaries we obtain estimates for linear spectral statistics of the conjugate kernel of neural networks and non-commutative polynomials in (possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Radosław Adamczak

Given some observable H of a finite-dimensional quantum system, we investigate the typical properties of random quantum state vectors that have a fixed expectation value with respect to H. Under some some conditions on the spectrum, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-05-03 Markus Mueller , David Gross , Jens Eisert

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Structure discovery in graphical models is the determination of the topology of a graph that encodes conditional independence properties of the joint distribution of all variables in the model. For some class of probability distributions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-07 Wacha Bounliphone , Matthew Blaschko

We investigate concentration properties of spectral measures of Hermitian random matrices with partially dependent entries. More precisely, let $X_n$ be a Hermitian random matrix of size $n\times n$ that can be split into independent blocks…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Bartłomiej Polaczyk