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The purpose of this paper is to provide a complete probabilistic analysis of a large class of stochastic differential games for which the interaction between the players is of mean-field type. We implement the Mean-Field Games strategy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Rene Carmona , Francois Delarue

Gallice and Monz\'on (2019) present a natural environment that sustains full co-operation in one-shot social dilemmas among a finite number of self-interested agents. They demonstrate that in a sequential public goods game, where agents…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Chowdhury Mohammad Sakib Anwar , Konstantinos Georgalos

We study the long-term behavior of the fictitious play process in repeated extensive-form games of imperfect information with perfect recall. Each player maintains incorrect beliefs that the moves at all information sets, except the one at…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Jason Castiglione , Gürdal Arslan

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

Uncertainty in machine learning refers to the degree of confidence or lack thereof in a model's predictions. While uncertainty quantification methods exist, explanations of uncertainty, especially in high-dimensional settings, remain an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Isaac Roberts , Alexander Schulz , Sarah Schroeder , Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

Cooperation through repetition is an important theme in game theory. In this regard, various celebrated ``folk theorems'' have been proposed for repeated games in increasingly more complex environments. There has, however, been insufficient…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-16 Richard McLean , Ichiro Obara , Andrew Postlewaite

We consider concurrent games played on graphs. At every round of a game, each player simultaneously and independently selects a move; the moves jointly determine the transition to a successor state. Two basic objectives are the safety…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-25 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Luca de Alfaro , Thomas A. Henzinger

In this paper, we study a class of zero-sum two-player stochastic differential games with the controlled stochastic differential equations and the payoff/cost functionals of recursive type. As opposed to the pioneering work by Fleming and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Jinniao Qiu , Jing Zhang

Definable zero-sum stochastic games involve a finite number of states and action sets, reward and transition functions that are definable in an o-minimal structure. Prominent examples of such games are finite, semi-algebraic or globally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Jérôme Bolte , Stéphane Gaubert , Guillaume Vigeral

Robotic interaction in fast-paced environments presents a substantial challenge, particularly in tasks requiring the prediction of dynamic, non-stationary objects for timely and accurate responses. An example of such a task is ping-pong,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Nima Rahmanian , Michael Gupta , Renzo Soatto , Srisai Nachuri , Michael Psenka , Yi Ma , S. Shankar Sastry

We consider the problem of computing the set of initial states of a dynamical system such that there exists a control strategy to ensure that the trajectories satisfy a temporal logic specification with probability 1 (almost-surely). We…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Maria Svorenova , Jan Kretinsky , Martin Chmelik , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ivana Cerna , Calin Belta

The game interactions among individuals in nature are often uncertain and dynamically evolving, significantly influencing the persistence of cooperation. However, it remains a formidable challenge to effectively characterize these dynamic…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bin Pi , Minyu Feng , Liang-Jian Deng , Xiaojie Chen , Attila Szolnoki

The combination of the Bayesian game and learning has a rich history, with the idea of controlling a single agent in a system composed of multiple agents with unknown behaviors given a set of types, each specifying a possible behavior for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Tongxin Li , Tinashe Handina , Shaolei Ren , Adam Wierman

We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set $\P$ of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable $X$ takes on value $x$, given that the agent makes decisions using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-11-27 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

We analyse the problem of meeting times for interdependent stochastic agents: random walkers whose behaviour is stochastic but controlled by their selections from some set of allowed actions, and the inference problem of when these agents…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

In this work, we study discrete-time Markov decision processes (MDPs) under constraints with Borel state and action spaces and where all the performance functions have the same form of the expected total reward (ETR) criterion over the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 F. Dufour , Alexandre Genadot

We consider the design of private prediction markets, financial markets designed to elicit predictions about uncertain events without revealing too much information about market participants' actions or beliefs. Our goal is to design market…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Rachel Cummings , David M. Pennock , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

In this work, we analyse the relationship between heterogeneity and cooperation. Previous investigations suggest that this relation is nontrivial, as some authors found that heterogeneity sustains cooperation, while others obtained…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-25 Marco A. Amaral , Marco A. Javarone

The general use of subjective probabilities to model belief has been justified using many axiomatic schemes. For example, ?consistent betting behavior' arguments are well-known. To those not already convinced of the unique fitness and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Paul Snow

We derive formulas for the performance of capital assets in continuous time from an efficient market hypothesis, with no stochastic assumptions and no assumptions about the beliefs or preferences of investors. Our efficient market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer
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