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Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common neurodegenerative disease in older people. Despite considerable efforts to find a cure for AD, there is a 99.6% failure rate of clinical trials for AD drugs, likely because AD patients cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Jack Albright

We introduce a novel personalized Gaussian Process Experts (pGPE) model for predicting per-subject ADAS-Cog13 cognitive scores -- a significant predictor of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) in the cognitive domain -- over the future 6, 12, 18, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Ognjen Rudovic , Yuria Utsumi , Ricardo Guerrero , Kelly Peterson , Daniel Rueckert , Rosalind W. Picard

Most approaches to machine learning from electronic health data can only predict a single endpoint. Here, we present an alternative that uses unsupervised deep learning to simulate detailed patient trajectories. We use data comprising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Charles K. Fisher , Aaron M. Smith , Jonathan R. Walsh , the Coalition Against Major Diseases

Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is marked by significant inter-individual variability in its progression, complicating accurate prognosis and personalized care planning. This heterogeneity underscores the critical need for predictive models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Gulsah Hancerliogullari Koksalmis , Bulent Soykan , Laura J. Brattain , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict per-patient changes in ADAS-Cog13 -- a significant predictor of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) in the cognitive domain -- using data from each patient's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Yuria Utsumi , Ognjen Rudovic , Kelly Peterson , Ricardo Guerrero , Rosalind W. Picard

Alzheimer's Disease (AD) ravages the cognitive ability of more than 5 million Americans and creates an enormous strain on the health care system. This paper proposes a machine learning predictive model for AD development without medical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-17 Courtney Cochrane , David Castineira , Nisreen Shiban , Pavlos Protopapas

We present the findings of "The Alzheimer's Disease Prediction Of Longitudinal Evolution" (TADPOLE) Challenge, which compared the performance of 92 algorithms from 33 international teams at predicting the future trajectory of 219…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Razvan V. Marinescu , Neil P. Oxtoby , Alexandra L. Young , Esther E. Bron , Arthur W. Toga , Michael W. Weiner , Frederik Barkhof , Nick C. Fox , Arman Eshaghi , Tina Toni , Marcin Salaterski , Veronika Lunina , Manon Ansart , Stanley Durrleman , Pascal Lu , Samuel Iddi , Dan Li , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue , Aviv Nahon , Yarden Levy , Dan Halbersberg , Mariya Cohen , Huiling Liao , Tengfei Li , Kaixian Yu , Hongtu Zhu , Jose G. Tamez-Pena , Aya Ismail , Timothy Wood , Hector Corrada Bravo , Minh Nguyen , Nanbo Sun , Jiashi Feng , B. T. Thomas Yeo , Gang Chen , Ke Qi , Shiyang Chen , Deqiang Qiu , Ionut Buciuman , Alex Kelner , Raluca Pop , Denisa Rimocea , Mostafa M. Ghazi , Mads Nielsen , Sebastien Ourselin , Lauge Sorensen , Vikram Venkatraghavan , Keli Liu , Christina Rabe , Paul Manser , Steven M. Hill , James Howlett , Zhiyue Huang , Steven Kiddle , Sach Mukherjee , Anais Rouanet , Bernd Taschler , Brian D. M. Tom , Simon R. White , Noel Faux , Suman Sedai , Javier de Velasco Oriol , Edgar E. V. Clemente , Karol Estrada , Leon Aksman , Andre Altmann , Cynthia M. Stonnington , Yalin Wang , Jianfeng Wu , Vivek Devadas , Clementine Fourrier , Lars Lau Raket , Aristeidis Sotiras , Guray Erus , Jimit Doshi , Christos Davatzikos , Jacob Vogel , Andrew Doyle , Angela Tam , Alex Diaz-Papkovich , Emmanuel Jammeh , Igor Koval , Paul Moore , Terry J. Lyons , John Gallacher , Jussi Tohka , Robert Ciszek , Bruno Jedynak , Kruti Pandya , Murat Bilgel , William Engels , Joseph Cole , Polina Golland , Stefan Klein , Daniel C. Alexander

The ability to predict the future trajectory of a patient is a key step toward the development of therapeutics for complex diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, most machine learning approaches developed for prediction of…

Accurate predictions of conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) can enable effective personalized therapy. While cognitive tests and clinical data are routinely collected, they lack the predictive power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Richard Hou , Shengpu Tang , Wei Jin

The Alzheimer's Disease Prediction Of Longitudinal Evolution (TADPOLE) Challenge compares the performance of algorithms at predicting future evolution of individuals at risk of Alzheimer's disease. TADPOLE Challenge participants train their…

In order to find effective treatments for Alzheimer's disease (AD), we need to identify subjects at risk of AD as early as possible. To this end, recently developed disease progression models can be used to perform early diagnosis, as well…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-11 Razvan V. Marinescu

The TADPOLE Challenge compares the performance of algorithms at predicting the future evolution of individuals at risk of Alzheimer's disease. TADPOLE Challenge participants train their models and algorithms on historical data from the…

Accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) entails clinical evaluation of multiple cognition metrics and biomarkers. Metrics such as the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale - Cognitive test (ADAS-cog) comprise multiple subscores that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-16 Lev E. Givon , Laura J. Mariano , David O'Dowd , John M. Irvine , Abraham R. Schneider

Introduction: It is challenging at baseline to predict when and which individuals who meet criteria for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) will ultimately progress to Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia. Methods: A deep learning method is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Hongming Li , Mohamad Habes , David A. Wolk , Yong Fan

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a complex, multifactorial neurodegenerative disorder with substantial heterogeneity in progression and treatment response. Despite recent therapeutic advances, predictive models capable of accurately forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Jindong Wang , Yutong Mao , Xiao Liu , Wenrui Hao

In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict the key metrics of Alzheimer's Disease progression (MMSE, ADAS-Cog13, CDRSB and CS) based on each patient's previous visits. We start by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Kelly Peterson , Ognjen Rudovic , Ricardo Guerrero , Rosalind W. Picard

Time-dependent data collected in studies of Alzheimer's disease usually has missing and irregularly sampled data points. For this reason time series methods which assume regular sampling cannot be applied directly to the data without a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-06 Paul Moore , Terry Lyons , John Gallacher

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a prevalent neurodegenerative disorder that progressively impairs memory, decision-making, and overall cognitive function. As AD is irreversible, early prediction is critical for timely intervention and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Mahdieh Behjat Khatooni , Mohsen Soryani

Accurate prediction of conversion from Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) to Alzheimers Diseases (AD) is essential for early intervention, however, developing reliable conversion predictive models is difficult to develop due to limited…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Brad Ye , Bulent Soykan , Gulsah Hancerliogullari Koksalmis , Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Laura J. Brattain

Alzheimer's Disease (AD), as the most devastating neurodegenerative disease worldwide, has reached nearly 10 million new cases annually. Current technology provides unprecedented opportunities to study the progression and etiology of this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-14 Zibin Zhao
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