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This paper estimates the causal effect of EU cohesion policy on regional output and investment, focusing on the Cohesion Fund (CF), a comparatively understudied instrument. Departing from standard approaches such as regression discontinuity…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Angelos Alexopoulos , Ilias Kostarakos , Christos Mylonakis , Petros Varthalitis

Assessing the contribution of various risk factors to future inflation risks was crucial for guiding monetary policy during the recent high inflation period. However, existing methodologies often provide limited insights by focusing solely…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Maximilian Schröder

In Kenya, interest payments on external debt have been increasing from 2010 to 2015, while GDP growth experienced a slight decline over the same period. Policymakers are concerned that the rapid increase in external debt in developing…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Sammy Kemboi Chepkilot

This paper investigates the presence of long memory in corporate bond and stock indices of six European Union countries from July 1998 to February 2015. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the DFA method and using a sliding window in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-24 Lisana B. Martinez , M. Belen Guercio , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Antonio Terceño

Flood risk changes in time and is influenced by both natural and socio-economic trends and interactions. In Europe, previous studies of historical flood losses corrected for demographic and economic growth ("normalized") have been limited…

Empirical growth analysis has three major problems --- variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence --- which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. The purpose of this study is to propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-20 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz

In this paper, we investigate the credit risk in the loan portfolio of banks following different business models. We develop a data-driven methodology for identifying the business models of the 365 largest European banks that is suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-09 Matteo Farnè , Angelos T. Vouldis

Two decades of research on the euro's trade effects have produced estimates ranging from 4% to 30%, with no consensus on the magnitude. We find evidence that this divergence may reflect genuine heterogeneity in the euro's trade effect…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Harry Aytug

Recent studies highlight economic complexity's role in mitigating fiscal crises, often measured via an economy's trade structure. Trade, however, is just one facet of an economy's structure and omits critical innovative activities like…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Goran Hristovski , Gjorgji Gockov , Viktor Stojkoski

Economic growth depends on capital investments and on investments in education and innovation. The model introduced here will specifiy aggregate output as determined by aggregate supply of capital and education investment. After formulating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Ferdinand Verhulst

We report the first ex post study of the economic impact of sea level rise. We apply two econometric approaches to estimate the past effects of sea level rise on the economy of the USA, viz. Barro type growth regressions adjusted for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Monika Novackova , Richard S. J. Tol

Financial inclusion is touted one of the principal drivers for economic growth for an economy. The study aims to explore the impact of financial inclusion on economic growth in Bangladesh. In my study, I used the number of loan accounts as…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-23 Ganapati Kumar Biswas

This paper empirically analyzes a dataset published by the European Banking Authority. Our main aim was to study how the Leverage Ratio is affected by adverse financial scenarios. This was be followed by observing how Leverage Ratio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-27 Jatin Dhingra , Kartikeya Singh , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

This paper investigates how economic shocks propagate and amplify through the input-output network connecting industrial sectors in developed economies. We study alternative models of diffusion on networks and we calibrate them using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-02 Martha G. Alatriste Contreras , Giorgio Fagiolo

International trade has been in the forefront of economic development and growth debates. Trade openness, its definition, scope, and impacts have also been studied numerously. Tariff has been dubbed as negative influencer of economic growth…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-15 S M Toufiqul Huq Sowrov

Innovation in the economy is an important engine of growth and no economy, whatever its complexity and degree of advancement, whether it is based on industry, agriculture, high tech or the providing of services, can be truly healthy without…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-15 Antoine Kornprobst

The enlargement of the European Union to new countries in 2004 launched mechanisms supporting the development of various social and economic areas, as well as levelling the differences between the Community members in these areas. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Anna Denkowska , Stanisław Wanat

This study investigates the impact of a fiscal policy spending shock on the economy of the Visegrad 4 countries. The impact is estimated with an SVAR model, and the calculations are based on 84 quarterly observations (1999Q1-2019Q4). The…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-29 Zoltan Bartha , Marco M. Matarrese

We estimate the dynamic distributional effects of financial shocks in the Euro Area using survey-based microdata on personal incomes. We find that positive financial shocks increase inequality, with heterogeneity across different income…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-14 Miloš Ciganović , Elena Scola Gagliardi , Massimiliano Tancioni