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We call two copulas tail equivalent if their first-order approximations in the tail coincide. As a special case, a copula is called tail symmetric if it is tail equivalent to the associated survival copula. We propose a novel measure and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Toshinao Yoshiba

Our goal in this paper is to propose an alternative risk measure which takes into account the fluctuations of losses and possible correlations between random variables. This new notion of risk measures, that we call Copula Conditional Tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Brahim Brahimi

For the problem of estimating lower tail and upper tail copulas, we propose two bootstrap procedures for approximating the distribution of the corresponding empirical tail copulas. The first method uses a multiplier bootstrap of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

Financial crises are usually associated with increased cross-sectional dependence between asset returns, causing asymmetry between the lower and upper tail of return distribution. The detection of asymmetric dependence is now understood to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Lorenzo Frattarolo

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

This paper introduces a copula-based model for independent but non-identically distributed data with heteroscedastic extremes marginal and changing tail dependence structures. We establish a unified framework for inference by proving the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Yifan Hu , Yanxi Hou

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

Quantifying tail dependence is an important issue in insurance and risk management. The prevalent tail dependence coefficient (TDC), however, is known to underestimate the degree of tail dependence and it does not capture non-exchangeable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Marius Hofert

In this paper, we develop a comprehensive asymptotic and bootstrap theory for checkerboard-based estimation of lower and upper tail copulas under unknown marginal distributions. The estimator is constructed via local bilinear (checkerboard)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das , Sujit Ghosh

We analyze the statistical dependency structure of the S&P 500 constituents in the 4-year period from 2007 to 2010 using intraday data from the New York Stock Exchange's TAQ database. With a copula-based approach, we find that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Michael C. Münnix , Rudi Schäfer

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

A dependence measure for arbitrary type pairs of random variables is proposed and analyzed, which in the particular case where both random variables are continuous turns out to be a concordance measure. Also, a sample version of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Arturo Erdely

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-21 Hans Manner , Johan Segers

We propose a Bayesian copula-based framework to quantify clinically interpretable joint tail risks from paired continuous biomarkers. After converting each biomarker margin to rank-based pseudo-observations, we model dependence using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Agnideep Aich , Md. Monzur Murshed , Sameera Hewage , Ashit Baran Aich

This paper studies the degree to which a bivariate copula fails to be symmetric under coordinate permutation, a property known as non-exchangeability. Working within an axiomatic framework that quantifies this asymmetry through a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen
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