Related papers: Short-Term Reliability Evaluation of Generating Sy…
Dynamic Fault Trees (DFT) are widely adopted in industry to assess the dependability of safety-critical equipment. Since many systems are too large to be studied numerically, DFTs dependability is often analysed using Monte Carlo…
We propose a method, a model, and a form of presenting model results for condition monitoring of a small set of wind turbines with rare failures. The main new ingredient of the method is to sample failure thresholds according to the profit…
Continuous-time random disturbances from the renewable generation pose a significant impact on power system dynamic behavior. In evaluating this impact, the disturbances must be considered as continuous-time random processes instead of…
The reliability of a system of components depends on reliability of each component. Thus, the initial statistical work should be the estimation of the reliability of each component of the system. This is not an easy task because when the…
Wind energy conversion system (WECS) is stochastic in nature and has low inertia to grid voltage instability, poor reactive power compensation and most importantly fault susceptibility. Variable speed WECS such as a doubly-fed induction…
In the complex multi-state system (MSS), reliability analysis is a significant research content, both for equipment design, manufacturing, usage and maintenance. Universal Generating Function (UGF) is an important method in the reliability…
As offshore wind turbines develop into deepwater operations, accurately quantifying the impact of stochastic excitations in complex sea environments on offshore wind turbines and conducting structural fatigue reliability analysis has become…
In this paper, we propose a data-driven energy storage system (ESS)-based method to enhance the online small-signal stability monitoring of power networks with high penetration of intermittent wind power. To accurately estimate inter-area…
In this paper, a multi-stage model for expansion co-planning of transmission lines, Battery Energy Storages (BESs), and Wind Farms (WFs) is presented considering resilience against extreme weather events. In addition to High Voltage…
The above paper presents some considerations regarding the modelling of wind energy conversion systems (WECS). There are presented practical problems of grid integration of wind turbines, the usage of general system models, respectively of…
When each edge device of a network only perceives a local part of the environment, collaborative inference across multiple devices is often needed to predict global properties of the environment. In safety-critical applications,…
This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…
A precise estimation of the Rate of Change of Frequency (RoCoF) is crucial for secure power system operation. In fact, RoCoF is strictly related to the amount of the available physical and/or virtual inertia of the system and the severity…
Renewable energy sources (RES) are getting closer to grid parity within interconnected systems while their use in isolated and remote areas is already cost competitive with conventional generation. In mini-grids, isolated and far from the…
Modern power systems with high share of renewable generation are at the risk of rapid changes in frequency and inertia resulting from contingencies. The importance of an accurate assessment of system and load relief, as well as frequency…
In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…
Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…
Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…
Bayesian inference for fractionally integrated exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (FIEGARCH) models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is described. A simulation study is presented to access the…
The probabilistic design of offshore wind turbines aims to ensure structural safety in a cost-effective way. This involves conducting structural reliability assessments for different design options and considering different structural…