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In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

Heavy-tailed noise has attracted growing attention in nonconvex stochastic optimization, as numerous empirical studies suggest it offers a more realistic assumption than standard bounded variance assumption. In this work, we investigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Xinwen Zhang , Hongchang Gao

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

We study the $k$-largest eigenvalues of heavy-tailed sample covariance matrices of the form $\bX\bX^\T$ in an asymptotic framework, where the dimension of the data and the sample size tend to infinity. To this end, we assume that the rows…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

In this paper is described the general aspect of a numerical method for piecewise determin-istic Markov processes with boundary. Under very natural hypotheses, a crucial result about uniqueness of solution of a generalized Kolmogorov…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Ludovic Goudenège

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

We are interested in investigating the statistical properties of extreme values for strongly correlated variables. The starting motivation is to understand how the strong-correlation properties of power-law distributed processes affect the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-21 Salvatore Miccichè

We provide some asymptotic theory for the largest eigenvalues of a sample covariance matrix of a p-dimensional time series where the dimension p = p_n converges to infinity when the sample size n increases. We give a short overview of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Richard Davis , Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Xiaolei Xie

In this work, we introduce a theory of stochastic integration with respect to symmetric $\alpha$-stable cylindrical L\'evy processes. Since $\alpha$-stable cylindrical L\'evy processes do not enjoy a semi-martingale decomposition, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Gergely Bodó , Markus Riedle

We find a maximum principle for general non-Markovian semi-martingales. We do so by describing the adjoint processes with non-anticipating stochastic derivatives in a martingale random field setting. In the case of the L\'evy processes this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Steffen Sjursen

This paper presents a comprehensive review of stochastic processes, with a particular focus on Markov chains and jump processes. The main results related to queuing systems are analyzed. Additionally, conditions that ensure the stability,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos E. Martínez-Rodríguez

In this paper, we prove maximal inequalities and study the functional central limit theorem for the partial sums of linear processes generated by dependent innovations. Due to the general weights, these processes can exhibit long-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-21 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

In this paper, we investigate the scaling limit of heavy-tailed nearly unstable cumulative INAR($\infty$) processes. These processes exhibit a power-law tail of the form $n^{-(1+\alpha)}$ for $\alpha \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$, and the $\ell^1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Yingli Wang , Chunhao Cai , Ping He , QingHua Wang

We prove joint functional limit theorems in the Skorokhod space equipped with the $J_1$-topology for successive Lebesgue-Stieltjes convolutions of nondecreasing stochastic processes with themselves. These convolutions arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexander Iksanov , Wissem Jedidi

We study systems of simple point processes that admit stochastic intensities. We represent these point processes as thinnings of Poisson measures and are interested in a convergence result of such systems. This result states that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Xavier Erny

This paper derives new maximal inequalities for empirical processes associated with separately exchangeable random arrays. For fixed index dimension $K\ge 1$, we establish a global maximal inequality bounding the $q$-th moment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-12 Harold D. Chiang

In optical non-linear processes rogue waves can be observed, which can be mathematically described by heavy-tailed distributions. These distributions are special due to the fact that the probability of registering extremely high intensities…

Optics · Physics 2021-05-26 Éva Rácz , László Ruppert , Radim Filip

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi