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The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

Stochastic volatility processes with heavy-tailed innovations are a well-known model for financial time series. In these models, the extremes of the log returns are mainly driven by the extremes of the i.i.d. innovation sequence which leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Anja Janssen , Holger Drees

This paper considers the problem of asynchronous stochastic nonconvex optimization with heavy-tailed gradient noise and arbitrarily heterogeneous computation times across workers. We propose an asynchronous normalized stochastic gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Yidong Wu , Luo Luo

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

This paper considers maximum likelihood inference for a functional marked point process - the stochastic growth-interaction process - which is an extension of the spatio-temporal growth-interaction process to the stochastic mark setting. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-09 Ottmar Cronie

This paper considers the problem of randomized influence maximization over a Markovian graph process: given a fixed set of nodes whose connectivity graph is evolving as a Markov chain, estimate the probability distribution (over this fixed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We define a class of multivariate maxima of moving multivariate maxima, generalising the M4 processes. For these stationary multivariate time series we characterise the joint distribution of extremes and compute the multivariate extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Helena Ferreira

This paper introduces ergodic-risk criteria, which capture long-term cumulative risks associated with controlled Markov chains through probabilistic limit theorems--in contrast to existing methods that require assumptions of either finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Shahriar Talebi , Na Li

This paper is concerned with a partially observed hybrid optimal control problem, where continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and in particular, the continuous dynamics can be observed while the discrete events, described by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Siyu Lv , Jie Xiong , Wen Xu

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie

We derive tail asymptotics for the running maximum of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The main result is proved by the saddle point method, where the tail estimate uses a new monotonicity property of the Kummer function. This auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-23 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek , Richard B. Paris

We study the convergence of centered and normalized sums of i.i.d. random elements of the space $\mathcal{D}$ of c{{\'a}}dl{{\'a}}g functions endowed with Skorohod's $J\_1$ topology, to stable distributions in $\mathcal D$. Our results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 François Roueff , Philippe Soulier

In this paper, we provide novel optimal (or near optimal) convergence rates for a clipped version of the stochastic subgradient method. We consider nonsmooth convex problems over possibly unbounded domains, under heavy-tailed noise that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-21 Daniela Angela Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Saverio Salzo

We explore the limit of stochastic differential equations driven by some random processes satisfying singularly perturbed second order stochastic differential equations. The main tool we employ is the universal limit theorem in rough path…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Qingming Zhao , Xueru Liu , Wei Wang

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We propose a coefficient that measures the dependence among large values for spatial processes of maxima. Its main properties are: a) $k$ locations can be taken into account; b) it takes values in $[0,1]$ and higher values indicate stronger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Helena Ferreira , Luisa Pereira

This paper presents precise large deviation estimates for solutions to stochastic fixed point equations of the type V =_d f(V), where f(v) = Av + g(v) for a random function g(v) = o(v) a.s. as v tends to infinity. Specifically, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-15 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Anand N. Vidyashankar

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of suprema of dependent Gaussian processes with trend. For different scales of the time horizon we obtain different normalizing functions for the convergence of the maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

We construct an example of a continuous centered random process with light tails of finite-dimensional distribution but with (relatively) heavy tail of maximum distribution. The apparatus for tails comparison are embedding results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota