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In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

We use a Stein identity to define a new class of parametric distributions which we call ``independent additive weighted bias distributions.'' We investigate related $L^2$-type discrepancy measures, empirical versions of which not only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Bruno Ebner , Yvik Swan

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Clément Dombry , Thibault Modeste , Romain Pic

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Evaluating whether data streams are drawn from the same distribution is at the heart of various machine learning problems. This is particularly relevant for data generated by dynamical systems since such systems are essential for many…

Distribution shifts between training and test data are inevitable over the lifecycle of a deployed model, leading to performance decay. Adapting a model on test samples can help mitigate this drop in performance. However, most test-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mona Schirmer , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

Goodness-of-fit tests based on the empirical Wasserstein distance are proposed for simple and composite null hypotheses involving general multivariate distributions. For group families, the procedure is to be implemented after preliminary…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Marc Hallin , Gilles Mordant , Johan Segers

We consider the problem of estimating the error variance in a general linear model when the error distribution is assumed to be spherically symmetric, but not necessary Gaussian. In particular we study the case of a scale mixture of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for count data on $\mathbb{N}$ for the Zeta distribution with unknown parameter. The test is built on a Stein-type characterization that uses, as Stein operator, the infinitesimal generator of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Bruno Ebner , Daniel Hlubinka

Standard Monte Carlo computation is widely known to exhibit a canonical square-root convergence speed in terms of sample size. Two recent techniques, one based on control variate and one on importance sampling, both derived from an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-13 Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Stein's method for measuring convergence to a continuous target distribution relies on an operator characterizing the target and Stein factor bounds on the solutions of an associated differential equation. While such operators and bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-14 Jackson Gorham , Andrew B. Duncan , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Lester Mackey

We establish inequalities for assessing the distance between the distribution of errors of partially observed high-frequency statistics of multidimensional L\'evy processes and that of a mixed Gaussian random variable. Furthermore, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Chiara Amorino , Arturo Jaramillo , Mark Podolskij

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

In many large multiple testing problems the hypotheses are divided into families. Given the data, families with evidence for true discoveries are selected, and hypotheses within them are tested. Neither controlling the error-rate in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Yoav Benjamini , Marina Bogomolov
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