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Central banks manage about \$12 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, influencing global exchange rates and asset prices. However, some of the largest holders of reserves report minimal information about their currency composition,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Matthew Ferranti

A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We study a game between liquidity provider and liquidity taker agents interacting in an over-the-counter market, for which the typical example is foreign exchange. We show how a suitable design of parameterized families of reward functions…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Nelson Vadori , Leo Ardon , Sumitra Ganesh , Thomas Spooner , Selim Amrouni , Jared Vann , Mengda Xu , Zeyu Zheng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Currency crises are frequently discussed retrospectively as a necessary and deterministic outcome of a finite sequence of fiscal decisions, monetary manoeuvres, and limited exogenous inputs. Parallelly, the Twin Deficits Hypothesis (TDH)…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-09 Shaunak Kulkarni , Rohan Ajay Dubey

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

In this work, we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to pairs trading, which is an investment strategy that matches a long position in one security with a short position in another security with similar characteristics.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-24 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an infinite horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in fixed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 Mauricio Junca

The nature of monetary arrangements is often discussed without any reference to its detailed construction. We present a graph representation that allows for a clear understanding of modern monetary systems. First, we show that systems based…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-01 Cyril Pitrou

We study stable allocations in an exchange economy with indivisible goods. The problem is well-known to be challenging, and rich enough to encode fundamentally unstable economies, such as the roommate problem. Our approach stems from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-23 Federico Echenique , Sumit Goel , SangMok Lee

When people choose routes minimizing their individual delay, the aggregate congestion can be much higher compared to that experienced by a centrally-imposed routing. Yet centralized routing is incompatible with the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-08 Mauro Salazar , Dario Paccagnan , Andrea Agazzi , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

We solve an infinite time-horizon bounded-variation stochastic control problem with regime switching between $N$ states. This is motivated by the problem of a government that wants to control the country's debt-to-GDP (gross domestic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

The general problem of asset pricing when the discount rate differs from the rate at which an asset's cash flows accrue is considered. A pricing kernel framework is used to model an economy that is segmented into distinct markets, each…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-19 Andrea Macrina , Obeid Mahomed

In this work we study the optimal execution problem with multiplicative price impact in algorithm trading, when an agent holds an initial position of shares of a financial asset. The inter-selling-decision times are modelled by the arrival…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-04 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Harold A. Moreno-Franco , José Luis Pérez

Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Katerina Rigana , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit , Samantha Cook

This paper analyzes the bank lending channel and the heterogeneous effects on the euro area, providing evidence that the channel is indeed working. The analysis of the transmission mechanism is based on structural impulse responses to an…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-12 Martin Guth

In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank (ECB) conditional on the prevailing level of uncertainty. To obtain exogenous variation in central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

This work is motivated by numerical solutions to Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequalities (HJBQVIs) associated with combined stochastic and impulse control problems. In particular, we consider (i) direct control, (ii)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Parsiad Azimzadeh , Peter A. Forsyth

We study the bilateral trade problem: one seller, one buyer and a single, indivisible item for sale. It is well known that there is no fully-efficient and incentive compatible mechanism for this problem that maintains a balanced budget. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Liad Blumrosen , Shahar Dobzinski

The aim of this paper is to provide a mathematical contribution on the semi-static hedge of timing risk associated to positions in American-style options under a multi-dimensional market model. Barrier options are considered in the paper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-23 Jiro Akahori , Flavia Barsotti , Yuri Imamura