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Recently developed spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models represent a major advance over traditional capture-recapture (CR) models because they yield explicit estimates of animal density instead of population size within an unknown area.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-29 Richard B. Chandler , J. Andrew Royle

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski

The paper describes a new class of capture-recapture models for closed populations when individual covariates are available. The novelty consists in combining a latent class model for the distribution of the capture history, where the class…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Antonio Forcina , Francesco Bartolucci

Relative abundance, measured as the number of animals caught per unit of sampling effort (CPUE), is commonly used to monitor fish and wildlife populations, largely because sampling methods are cost-effective to implement. Modeling relative…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kevin M. Collins , Erin M. Schliep , Tyler Wagner , Christopher K. Wikle

To make informative public policy decisions in battling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to know the disease prevalence in a population. There are two intertwined difficulties in estimating this prevalence based on testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Bryan Cai , John P. A. Ioannidis , Eran Bendavid , Lu Tian

Complex survey data are usually collected following complex sampling designs. Accounting for the sampling design is essential to obtain unbiased estimates and valid inferences when analyzing complex survey data. The area under the receiver…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Amaia Iparragirre , Thomas Lumley , Irantzu Barrio

In this paper we consider the estimation of population size from one-source capture--recapture data, that is, a list in which individuals can potentially be found repeatedly and where the question is how many individuals are missed by the…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Dankmar Böhning , Peter G. M. van der Heijden

The increasing availability of time --and space-- resolved data describing human activities and interactions gives insights into both static and dynamic properties of human behavior. In practice, nevertheless, real-world datasets can often…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-27 Nicolas Tremblay , Alain Barrat , Cary Forest , Mark Nornberg , Jean-François Pinton , Pierre Borgnat

Network surveys of key populations at risk for HIV are an essential part of the effort to understand how the epidemic spreads and how it can be prevented. Estimation of population values from the sample data has been probematical, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Steve Thompson

Motivated by various applications, we consider the problem of homogeneous human population size (N) estimation from Dual-record system (DRS) (equivalently, two-sample capture-recapture experiment). The likelihood estimate from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-07 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

Capture-recapture data are often collected when abundance estimation is of interest. In the presence of unobserved individual heterogeneity, specified on a continuous scale for the capture probabilities, the likelihood is not generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Ruth King , Brett T. McClintock , Darren Kidney , David Borchers

This work is concerned with the estimation of hard-to-reach population sizes using a single respondent-driven sampling (RDS) survey, a variant of chain-referral sampling that leverages social relationships to reach members of a hidden…

Causal discovery can be a powerful tool for investigating causality when a system can be observed but is inaccessible to experiments in practice. Despite this, it is rarely used in any scientific or medical fields. One of the major hurdles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Erich Kummerfeld , Alexander Rix

Causal inference in a program evaluation setting faces the problem of external validity when the treatment effect in the target population is different from the treatment effect identified from the population of which the sample is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Kyungchul Song , Zhengfei Yu

While conducting probabilistic surveys is the gold standard for assessing vaccine coverage, implementing these surveys poses challenges for global health. There is a need for more convenient option that is more affordable and practical.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Nathaniel Dyrkton , Shomoita Alam , Susan Shepherd , Ibrahim Sana , Kevin Phelan , Jay JH Park

The capture-recapture method can be applied to measure the coverage of administrative and big data sources, in official statistics. In its basic form, it involves the linkage of two sources while assuming a perfect linkage and other…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Abel Dasylva , Arthur Goussanou , Christian-Olivier Nambeu

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

Respondent-driven sampling is a form of link-tracing network sampling, which is widely used to study hard-to-reach populations, often to estimate population proportions. Previous treatments of this process have used a with-replacement…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-25 Krista J. Gile

Accurate inference on population dynamics, such as migration and changes in population size, is essential for policymaking, resource allocation and demographic research. Traditional censuses are expensive, infrequent and not timely, leading…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-27 Lucy Y Brown , Eleni Matechou , Bruno Santos , Eleonora Mussino