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We consider the problem of converting offline estimators into an online predictor or estimator with small extra regret. Formally this is the problem of merging a collection of probability measures over strings of length 1,2,3,... into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Marcus Hutter

This paper considers a variant of the online paging problem, where the online algorithm has access to multiple predictors, each producing a sequence of predictions for the page arrival times. The predictors may have occasional prediction…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Yuval Emek , Shay Kutten , Yangguang Shi

We consider the online problem in which an intermediary trades identical items with a sequence of n buyers and n sellers, each of unit demand. We assume that the values of the traders are selected by an adversary and the sequence is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Elias Koutsoupias , Philip Lazos

We study the problem of online binary classification where strategic agents can manipulate their observable features in predefined ways, modeled by a manipulation graph, in order to receive a positive classification. We show this setting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Saba Ahmadi , Avrim Blum , Kunhe Yang

We revisit the concept of "adversary" in online learning, motivated by solving robust optimization and adversarial training using online learning methods. While one of the classical setups in online learning deals with the "adversarial"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Sebastian Pokutta , Huan Xu

We study online classification when the learner has access to predictions about future examples. We design an online learner whose expected regret is never worse than the worst-case regret, gracefully improves with the quality of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Vinod Raman , Ambuj Tewari

We use an adversarial expert based online learning algorithm to learn the optimal parameters required to maximise wealth trading zero-cost portfolio strategies. The learning algorithm is used to determine the relative population dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Nicholas Murphy , Tim Gebbie

Following a line of work that takes advantage of vast machine-learned data to enhance online algorithms with (possibly erroneous) information about future inputs, we consider predictions in the context of deterministic algorithms for the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Christodoulos Karavasilis

We consider a financial network represented at any time instance by a random liability graph which evolves over time. The agents connect through credit instruments borrowed from each other or through direct lending, and these create the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-23 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

We consider the problem of a single seller repeatedly selling a single item to a single buyer (specifically, the buyer has a value drawn fresh from known distribution $D$ in every round). Prior work assumes that the buyer is fully rational…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Mark Braverman , Jieming Mao , Jon Schneider , S. Matthew Weinberg

Online bipartite matching is a fundamental problem in online optimization, extensively studied both in its integral and fractional forms due to its theoretical significance and practical applications, such as online advertising and resource…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Davin Choo , Billy Jin , Yongho Shin

We study the impact of end-user behavior on service provider (SP) bidding and user/network association in a HetNet with multiple SPs while considering the uncertainty in the service guarantees offered by the SPs. Using Prospect Theory (PT)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-13 Mohammad Yousefvand , Narayan Mandayam

We develop the setting of sequential prediction based on shifting experts and on a "smooth" version of the method of specialized experts. To aggregate experts predictions, we use the AdaHedge algorithm, which is a version of the Hedge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Vladimir V'yugin , Vladimir Trunov

A method to predict time-series using multiple deep learners and a Bayesian network is proposed. In this study, the input explanatory variables are Bayesian network nodes that are associated with learners. Training data are divided using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Shusuke Kobayashi , Susumu Shirayama

We study the problem of online learning in adversarial bandit problems under a partial observability model called off-policy feedback. In this sequential decision making problem, the learner cannot directly observe its rewards, but instead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Germano Gabbianelli , Matteo Papini , Gergely Neu

Decision making in uncertain and risky environments is a prominent area of research. Standard economic theories fail to fully explain human behaviour, while a potentially promising alternative may lie in the direction of Reinforcement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Alvin Pastore , Umberto Esposito , Eleni Vasilaki

The standard framework of online bidding algorithm design assumes that the seller commits himself to faithfully implementing the rules of the adopted auction. However, the seller may attempt to cheat in execution to increase his revenue if…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Qian Wang , Xuanzhi Xia , Zongjun Yang , Xiaotie Deng , Yuqing Kong , Zhilin Zhang , Liang Wang , Chuan Yu , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng

Within the context of stochastic probing with commitment, we consider the online stochastic matching problem; that is, the one sided online bipartite matching problem where edges adjacent to an online node must be probed to determine if…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Allan Borodin , Calum MacRury , Akash Rakheja

All people have to make risky decisions in everyday life. And we do not know how true they are. But is it possible to mathematically assess the correctness of our choice? This article discusses the model of decision making under risk on the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 O. A. Malafeyev , A. N. Malova , A. E. Tsybaeva

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa
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