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Related papers: A branching process with contact tracing

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A two-type two-sex branching process is introduced with the aim of describing the interaction of predator and prey populations with sexual reproduction and promiscuous mating. In each generation and in each species the total number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-29 Cristina Gutierrez , Carmen Minuesa

In this note we give a new method for getting a series of approximations for the extinction probability of the one-dimensional contact process by using the Gr\"obner basis.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-23 Norio Konno

Branching processes are classical growth models in cell kinetics. In their construction, it is usually assumed that cell lifetimes are independent random variables, which has been proved false in experiments. Models of dependent lifetimes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-02 Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

In this paper, we introduce a two-sex controlled branching model to describe the interaction between predator and prey populations with sexual reproduction. This process is a two-type branching process, where the first type corresponds to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Cristina Gutierrez , Carmen Minuesa

For a generalized continuous state branching process with non-vanishing diffusion part, finite expectation and a directed ("left-to-right") interaction, we construct the height process of its forest of genealogical trees. The connection…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Zenghu Li , Etienne Pardoux , Anton Wakolbinger

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

We consider the genealogy tree for a critical branching process conditioned on non-extinction. We enumerate vertices in each generation of the tree so that for each two generations one can define a monotone map describing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-27 Yuri Bakhtin

This paper demonstrates a new regeneration processes technology making use of positive stable distributions. We study the asymptotic behavior of branching processes with a randomly controlled migration component. Using the new method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George P. Yanev , Kosto V. Mitov , Nickolay M. Yanev

We study the contact process on a random bipartite connection hypergraph generated from two Poisson point processes, with mark-dependent connection thresholds. For asymmetric infection rates and asymmetric power law tail decays of the two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 John Fernley , Christian Hirsch , Daniel Valesin

This paper deals with branching processes in varying environment, namely, whose offspring distributions depend on the generations. We provide sufficient conditions for survival or extinction which rely only on the first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Daniela Bertacchi , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Fabio Zucca

We consider a critical bisexual branching process in a random environment generated by independent and identically distributed random variables. Assuming that the process starts with a large number of pairs $N$, we prove that its extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 A. P. Zhiyanov , A. V. Shklyaev

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

In this paper, we derive a precise estimate for the mean extinction time of the contact process with a fixed infection rate on a star graph with $N$ leaves. Specifically, we determine not only the exponential main factor but also the exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Younghun Jo

In this manuscript, we continue with the systematic study of the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in L\'evy environments under more general branching mechanisms. Here, we deal with the weakly subcritical regime…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel