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Empirical analysis in economics often faces the difficulty that the data is correlated and heterogeneous in some unknown form. Spatial parametric approaches have been widely used to account for dependence structures, but the problem of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-09 Anna Gloria Billé , Roberto Benedetti , Paolo Postiglione

Over the past decades, statisticians and machine-learning researchers have developed literally thousands of new tools for the reduction of high-dimensional data in order to identify the variables most responsible for a particular trait.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-31 Chamont Wang , Jana Gevertz , Chaur-Chin Chen , Leonardo Auslender

We develop a method to perform model averaging in two-stage linear regression systems subject to endogeneity. Our method extends an existing Gibbs sampler for instrumental variables to incorporate a component of model uncertainty. Direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-20 Anna Karl , Alex Lenkoski

To make accurate predictions, understand mechanisms, and design interventions in systems of many variables, we wish to learn causal graphs from large scale data. Unfortunately the space of all possible causal graphs is enormous so scalably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Alan Nawzad Amin , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Understanding which parts of a dynamical system cause each other is extremely relevant in fundamental and applied sciences. However, inferring causal links from observational data, namely without direct manipulations of the system, is still…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-27 Matteo Allione , Vittorio Del Tatto , Alessandro Laio

This article considers inference in linear instrumental variables models with many regressors, all of which could be endogenous. We propose the STIV estimator. Identification robust confidence sets are derived by solving linear programs. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-09 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

Classical machine learning techniques often struggle with overfitting and unreliable predictions when exposed to novel conditions. Introducing causality into the modelling process offers a promising way to mitigate these challenges by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-28 David Zapata Gonzalez , Marcel Meyer , Oliver Mueller

In this work, we build a series of machine learning models to predict the price of a product given its image, and visualize the features that result in higher or lower price predictions. We collect two novel datasets of product images and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Richard R. Yang , Steven Chen , Edward Chou

Most existing automatic house price estimation systems rely only on some textual data like its neighborhood area and the number of rooms. The final price is estimated by a human agent who visits the house and assesses it visually. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Eman Ahmed , Mohamed Moustafa

A key obstacle in automated analytics and meta-learning is the inability to recognize when different datasets contain measurements of the same variable. Because provided attribute labels are often uninformative in practice, this task may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Alex Smola

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

Instrumental variables (IV) regression is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in settings where receipt of treatment is not fully random, but there exists an instrument that generates exogenous variation in treatment exposure.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-10 Stephen Coussens , Jann Spiess

Given a graph with partial observations of node features, how can we estimate the missing features accurately? Feature estimation is a crucial problem for analyzing real-world graphs whose features are commonly missing during the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Jaemin Yoo , Hyunsik Jeon , Jinhong Jung , U Kang

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

House price valuation remains challenging due to localized market variations. Existing approaches often rely on black-box machine learning models, which lack interpretability, or simplistic methods like linear regression (LR), which fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Paul Gümmer , Julian Rosenberger , Mathias Kraus , Patrick Zschech , Nico Hambauer

Methods utilizing instrumental variables have been a fundamental statistical approach to estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, usually occurring in non-randomized observational data common to fields such as economics and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Charles Spanbauer , Wei Pan

Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful approach to inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data even when there exist latent confounders between the treatment and the outcome. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Understanding how housing values evolve over time is important to policy makers, consumers and real estate professionals. Existing methods for constructing housing indices are computed at a coarse spatial granularity, such as metropolitan…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-07 You Ren , Emily B. Fox , Andrew Bruce

The price elasticity of demand can be estimated from observational data using instrumental variables (IV). However, naive IV estimators may be inconsistent in settings with autocorrelated time series. We argue that causal time graphs can…