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This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

Generalized additive models (GAMs) provide a way to blend parametric and non-parametric (function approximation) techniques together, making them flexible tools suitable for many modeling problems. For instance, GAMs can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Antti Solonen , Stratos Staboulis

We analyse and explain the increased generalisation performance of iterate averaging using a Gaussian process perturbation model between the true and batch risk surface on the high dimensional quadratic. We derive three phenomena…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Diego Granziol , Xingchen Wan , Samuel Albanie , Stephen Roberts

The choice of the prior model can have a large impact on the ability to assimilate data. In standard applications of ensemble-based data assimilation, all realizations in the initial ensemble are generated from the same covariance matrix…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-03 Dean S. Oliver

In public opinion studies, the relationships between opinions on different topics are likely to shift based on the characteristics of the respondents. Thus, understanding the complexities of public opinion requires methods that can account…

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Edoardo M. Airoldi , Thiago Costa , Federico Bassetti , Fabrizio Leisen , Michele Guindani

In this paper, we study an additive model where the response variable is Hilbert-space-valued and predictors are multivariate Euclidean, and both are possibly imperfectly observed. Considering Hilbert-space-valued responses allows to cover…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Jeong Min Jeon , Germain Van Bever

Educational systems have traditionally been evaluated using cross-sectional studies, namely, examining a pretest, posttest, and single intervention. Although this is a popular approach, it does not model valuable information such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-03 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

A hierarchical Bayesian approach that permits simultaneous inference for the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix in the multivariate linear model is proposed. Assuming a natural ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Christina Zhao , Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones , Adam J. Rothman

We propose a new modeling approach that is a generalization of generative and discriminative models. The core idea is to use an implicit parameterization of a joint probability distribution by specifying only the conditional distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Carsten Rother

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Multi-behavior recommendation systems enhance effectiveness by leveraging auxiliary behaviors (such as page views and favorites) to address the limitations of traditional models that depend solely on sparse target behaviors like purchases.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Haojie Li , Zhiyong Cheng , Xu Yu , Jinhuan Liu , Guanfeng Liu , Junwei Du

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or $w$-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-26 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation, like all Bayesian methods, depends on prior assumptions. These assumptions are often chosen to promote specific features in the recovered estimate. The form of the chosen prior determines the shape of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Zilai Si , Yucong Liu , Alexander Strang

Historical data about disease outcomes can be integrated into the analysis of clinical trials in many ways. We build on existing literature that uses prognostic scores from a predictive model to increase the efficiency of treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 David Walsh , Alejandro Schuler , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Lack of independence in the residuals from linear regression motivates the use of random effect models in many applied fields. We start from the one-way anova model and extend it to a general class of one-factor Bayesian mixed models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-04 Massimo Ventrucci , Daniela Cocchi , Gemma Burgazzi , Alex Laini

An important problem in the field of bioinformatics is to identify interactive effects among profiled variables for outcome prediction. In this paper, a logistic regression model with pairwise interactions among a set of binary covariates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Easton Li Xu , Xiaoning Qian , Tie Liu , Shuguang Cui