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We propose a novel Continuation Multi Level Monte Carlo (CMLMC) algorithm for weak approximation of stochastic models. The CMLMC algorithm solves the given approximation problem for a sequence of decreasing tolerances, ending when the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Nathan Collier , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for stable predictors in the context of risk assessment. The notion of stability has been first introduced by \cite{DEWA79}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-24 Matthieu Cornec

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a family of "coherent risk measures" which generalize the traditional mathematical expectation. Widely used in mathematical finance, it is garnering increasing interest in machine learning, e.g., as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Zakaria Mhammedi , Benjamin Guedj , Robert C. Williamson

Upper and lower bounds on the error probability of linear codes under maximum-likelihood (ML) decoding are shortly surveyed and applied to ensembles of codes on graphs. For upper bounds, focus is put on Gallager bounding techniques and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Igal Sason , Shlomo Shamai

In the task of comparing two classification algorithms, the widely-used McNemar's test aims to infer the presence of a significant difference between the error rates of the two classification algorithms. However, the power of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Jing Yang , Ruibo Wang , Yijun Song , Jihong Li

Cross validation is a central tool in evaluating the performance of machine learning and statistical models. However, despite its ubiquitous role, its theoretical properties are still not well understood. We study the asymptotic properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Morgane Austern , Wenda Zhou

Model selection is a crucial issue in machine-learning and a wide variety of penalisation methods (with possibly data dependent complexity penalties) have recently been introduced for this purpose. However their empirical performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-11 Charanpal Dhanjal , Nicolas Baskiotis , Stéphan Clémençon , Nicolas Usunier

We analyse the convergence of the proximal gradient algorithm for convex composite problems in the presence of gradient and proximal computational inaccuracies. We derive new tighter deterministic and probabilistic bounds that we use to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Anis Hamadouche , Yun Wu , Andrew M. Wallace , Joao F. C. Mota

We show a Talagrand-type concentration inequality for Multi-Task Learning (MTL), using which we establish sharp excess risk bounds for MTL in terms of distribution- and data-dependent versions of the Local Rademacher Complexity (LRC). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Niloofar Yousefi , Yunwen Lei , Marius Kloft , Mansooreh Mollaghasemi , Georgios Anagnostopoulos

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan

Many fundamental machine learning tasks can be formulated as a problem of learning with vector-valued functions, where we learn multiple scalar-valued functions together. Although there is some generalization analysis on different specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Liang Wu , Antoine Ledent , Yunwen Lei , Marius Kloft

The local Rademacher complexity framework is one of the most successful general-purpose toolboxes for establishing sharp excess risk bounds for statistical estimators based on the framework of empirical risk minimization. Applying this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Varun Kanade , Patrick Rebeschini , Tomas Vaskevicius

This paper describes a method for performing inference on models chosen by cross-validation. When the test error being minimized in cross-validation is a residual sum of squares it can be written as a quadratic form. This allows us to apply…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-01 Joshua R. Loftus

(Stochastic) bilevel optimization is a frequently encountered problem in machine learning with a wide range of applications such as meta-learning, hyper-parameter optimization, and reinforcement learning. Most of the existing studies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Meng Ding , Mingxi Lei , Yunwen Lei , Di Wang , Jinhui Xu

This paper studies V-fold cross-validation for model selection in least-squares density estimation. The goal is to provide theoretical grounds for choosing V in order to minimize the least-squares loss of the selected estimator. We first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Sylvain Arlot , Matthieu Lerasle

In this article we prove that estimator stability is enough to show that leave-one-out cross validation is a sound procedure, by providing concentration bounds in a general framework. In particular, we provide concentration bounds beyond…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Benny Avelin , Lauri Viitasaari

Group number selection is a key problem for group panel data modeling. In this work, we develop a cross-validation (CV) method to tackle this problem. Specifically, we split the panel data into two data folds on the time span, with group…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Zhe Li , Xuening Zhu , Changliang Zou

In this paper, we develop an upper bound for the SPARSEVA (SPARSe Estimation based on a VAlidation criterion) estimation error in a general scheme, i.e., when the cost function is strongly convex and the regularized norm is decomposable for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Huong Ha , James S. Welsh , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

Generalization error bounds are essential to understanding machine learning algorithms. This paper presents novel expected generalization error upper bounds based on the average joint distribution between the output hypothesis and each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Gholamali Aminian , Yuheng Bu , Gregory Wornell , Miguel Rodrigues

The error or variability of machine learning algorithms is often assessed by repeatedly re-fitting a model with different weighted versions of the observed data. The ubiquitous tools of cross-validation (CV) and the bootstrap are examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Ryan Giordano , Will Stephenson , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick