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We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

Tackling pattern recognition problems in areas such as computer vision, bioinformatics, speech or text recognition is often done best by taking into account task-specific statistical relations between output variables. In structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-14 Rein Houthooft , Filip De Turck

Sparse regression and classification estimators that respect group structures have application to an assortment of statistical and machine learning problems, from multitask learning to sparse additive modeling to hierarchical selection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Ryan Thompson , Farshid Vahid

As datasets grow larger, they are often distributed across multiple machines that compute in parallel and communicate with a central machine through short messages. In this paper, we focus on sparse regression and propose a new procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Sifan Liu , Snigdha Panigrahi

This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

In this paper, we estimate impulse responses by local projections in high-dimensional settings. We use the desparsified (de-biased) lasso to estimate the high-dimensional local projections, while leaving the impulse response parameter of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

In the high-dimensional sparse modeling literature, it has been crucially assumed that the sparsity structure of the model is homogeneous over the entire population. That is, the identities of important regressors are invariant across the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-20 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Conformal predictors, introduced by Vovk et al. (2005), serve to build prediction intervals by exploiting a notion of conformity of the new data point with previously observed data. In the present paper, we propose a novel method for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Mohamed Hebiri

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. We propose a three-stage procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-31 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

The Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model is fundamental to the study of multivariate time series. Although VAR models are intensively investigated by many researchers, practitioners often show more interest in analyzing VARX models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

This paper concerns statistical inference for the components of a high-dimensional regression parameter despite possible endogeneity of each regressor. Given a first-stage linear model for the endogenous regressors and a second-stage linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-25 David Gold , Johannes Lederer , Jing Tao

The central problem we address in this work is estimation of the parameter support set S, the set of indices corresponding to nonzero parameters, in the context of a sparse parametric likelihood model for discrete multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Trevor D. Ruiz , Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya , Sarah C. Emerson

Learning the relationships between various entities from time-series data is essential in many applications. Gaussian graphical models have been studied to infer these relationships. However, existing algorithms process data in a batch at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

In an era of unprecedented deluge of (mostly unstructured) data, graphs are proving more and more useful, across the sciences, as a flexible abstraction to capture complex relationships between complex objects. One of the main challenges…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-17 Alaa Saade

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

One of the challenges with functional data is incorporating spatial structure, or local correlation, into the analysis. This structure is inherent in the output from an increasing number of biomedical technologies, and a functional linear…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-07 Timothy W. Randolph , Jaroslaw Harezlak , Ziding Feng

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

In this study, Bayesian inference is developed for structural vector autoregressive models in which the structural parameters are identified via Markov-switching heteroskedasticity. In such a model, restrictions that are just-identifying in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Helmut Lütkepohl , Tomasz Woźniak

We propose a regularized factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model that allows for sparsity in the factor loadings. In this framework, factors may only load on a subset of variables which simplifies the factor identification and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-13 Maurizio Daniele , Julie Schnaitmann

This work proposes new inference methods for a regression coefficient of interest in a (heterogeneous) quantile regression model. We consider a high-dimensional model where the number of regressors potentially exceeds the sample size but a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Kengo Kato
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