English
Related papers

Related papers: Connecting actuarial judgment to probabilistic lea…

200 papers

A variety of real-world tasks involve the classification of images into pre-determined categories. Designing image classification algorithms that exhibit robustness to acquisition noise and image distortions, particularly when the available…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-10 Umamahesh Srinivas

Causal models communicate our assumptions about causes and effects in real-world phe- nomena. Often the interest lies in the identification of the effect of an action which means deriving an expression from the observed probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

The use of a hypothetical generative model was been suggested for causal analysis of observational data. The very assumption of a particular model is a commitment to a certain set of variables and therefore to a certain set of possible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Nimrod Megiddo

Directed graphical models such as Bayesian nets are often used to implement intelligent tutoring systems able to interact in real-time with learners in a purely automatic way. When coping with such models, keeping a bound on the number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alessandro Antonucci , Francesca Mangili , Claudio Bonesana , Giorgia Adorni

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

A Bayesian network is a graphical model that encodes probabilistic relationships among variables of interest. When used in conjunction with statistical techniques, the graphical model has several advantages for data analysis. One, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 David Heckerman

Causality plays an important role in understanding intelligent behavior, and there is a wealth of literature on mathematical models for causality, most of which is focused on causal graphs. Causal graphs are a powerful tool for a wide range…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Scott Garrabrant , Matthias Georg Mayer , Magdalena Wache , Leon Lang , Sam Eisenstat , Holger Dell

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

The analysis of decision making under uncertainty is closely related to the analysis of probabilistic inference. Indeed, much of the research into efficient methods for probabilistic inference in expert systems has been motivated by the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

Understanding the mental state of other people is an important skill for intelligent agents and robots to operate within social environments. However, the mental processes involved in `mind-reading' are complex. One explanation of such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Jonathan Vitale , Mary-Anne Williams , Benjamin Johnston , Giuseppe Boccignone

This is a companion piece to my paper on "Example-Based Procedural Modeling Using Graph Grammars." This paper examines some of the theoretical issues in more detail. This paper discusses some more complex parts of the implementation, why…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Paul Merrell

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Konstantin Göbler , Tobias Windisch , Mathias Drton

We develop a mathematical and interpretative foundation for the enterprise of decision-theoretic statistical causality (DT), which is a straightforward way of representing and addressing causal questions. DT reframes causal inference as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid

Neural-symbolic computing has now become the subject of interest of both academic and industry research laboratories. Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have been widely used in relational and symbolic domains, with widespread application of GNNs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Luis C. Lamb , Artur Garcez , Marco Gori , Marcelo Prates , Pedro Avelar , Moshe Vardi

This article contributes to the discussion on the relationship between the Neyman-Rubin and the graphical frameworks for causal inference. We present specific examples of data-generating mechanisms - such as those involving undirected or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna , Juha Karvanen , Ingeborg Waernbaum

This paper introduces the Actuarial Neural Additive Model, an inherently interpretable deep learning model for general insurance pricing that offers fully transparent and interpretable results while retaining the strong predictive power of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Patrick J. Laub , Tu Pho , Bernard Wong

Recently, there has been extensive research on the capabilities of biologically plausible algorithms. In this work, we show how one of such algorithms, called predictive coding, is able to perform causal inference tasks. First, we show how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Tommaso Salvatori , Luca Pinchetti , Amine M'Charrak , Beren Millidge , Thomas Lukasiewicz

We demonstrate that graph-based models are fully capable of representing higher-order interactions, and have a long history of being used for precisely this purpose. This stands in contrast to a common claim in the recent literature on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Tiago P. Peixoto , Leto Peel , Thilo Gross , Manlio De Domenico

Dynamic graph learning has gained significant attention as it offers a powerful means to model intricate interactions among entities across various real-world and scientific domains. Notably, graphs serve as effective representations for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Sanaz Hasanzadeh Fard
‹ Prev 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 Next ›