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Penalized spline estimation with discrete difference penalties (P-splines) is a popular estimation method for semiparametric models, but the classical least-squares estimator is highly sensitive to deviations from its ideal model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

Resolving a conjecture of Abbe, Bandeira and Hall, the authors have recently shown that the semidefinite programming (SDP) relaxation of the maximum likelihood estimator achieves the sharp threshold for exactly recovering the community…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-16 Bruce Hajek , Yihong Wu , Jiaming Xu

A sparse modeling approach is proposed for analyzing scanning tunneling microscopy topography data, which contains numerous peaks corresponding to surface atoms. The method, based on the relevance vector machine with $\mathrm{L}_1$…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-13 Masamichi J. Miyama , Koji Hukushima

The comparison of local characteristics of two random processes can shed light on periods of time or space at which the processes differ the most. This paper proposes a method that learns about regions with a certain volume, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Miguel de Carvalho , Gabriel Martos Venturini

This paper introduces Pairwise Difference Pearson (PDP), a novel segment-level meta-evaluation metric for Machine Translation (MT) that address limitations in previous Pearson's $\rho$-based and and Kendall's $\tau$-based meta-evaluation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Colten DiIanni , Daniel Deutsch

This paper discusses a class of thresholding-based iterative selection procedures (TISP) for model selection and shrinkage. People have long before noticed the weakness of the convex $l_1$-constraint (or the soft-thresholding) in wavelets…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-29 Yiyuan She

One fruitful formulation of Deep Networks (DNs) enabling their theoretical study and providing practical guidelines to practitioners relies on Piecewise Affine Splines. In that realm, a DN's input-mapping is expressed as per-region affine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Randall Balestriero , Yann LeCun

To detect differences between the mean curves of two samples in longitudinal study or functional data analysis, we usually need to partition the temporal or spatial domain into several pre-determined sub-areas. In this paper we apply the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Peirong Xu , Youngjo Lee , Jian Qing Shi

Robust MDPs (RMDPs) can be used to compute policies with provable worst-case guarantees in reinforcement learning. The quality and robustness of an RMDP solution are determined by the ambiguity set---the set of plausible transition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Marek Petrik , Reazul Hasan Russell

We consider the problem of constructing honest and adaptive confidence sets in Lp-loss (with p>=1 and p < infinity) over sets of Sobolev-type classes, in the setting of non-parametric Gaussian regression. The objective is to adapt the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Alexandra Carpentier

Crucial for building trust in deep learning models for critical real-world applications is efficient and theoretically sound uncertainty quantification, a task that continues to be challenging. Useful uncertainty information is expected to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

We propose a Bayesian evidence-based inference framework based on relative belief ratios and apply it to discriminating between one and two incoherent optical point sources using spatial-mode demultiplexing (SPADE). Unlike the Helstrom…

Markov-switching models are powerful tools that allow capturing complex patterns from time series data driven by latent states. Recent work has highlighted the benefits of estimating components of these models nonparametrically, enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Jan-Ole Koslik

Motivated by the success of score-based generative models, a number of diffusion-based algorithms have recently been proposed for the problem of sampling from a probability measure whose unnormalized density can be accessed. Among them,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Jakob Kellermann

Many data mining and statistical machine learning algorithms have been developed to select a subset of covariates to associate with a response variable. Spurious discoveries can easily arise in high-dimensional data analysis due to enormous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Jianqing Fan , Wen-Xin Zhou

A partially identified model, where the parameters can not be uniquely identified, often arises during statistical analysis. While researchers frequently use Bayesian inference to analyze the models, when Bayesian inference with an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-21 Seren Lee , Paul Gustafson

The problem of estimating a parameter in the drift coefficient is addressed for $N$ discretely observed independent and identically distributed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This is done considering additional constraints,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter , Hélène Halconruy

We consider spline estimates which preserve prescribed piecewise convex properties of the unknown function. A robust version of the penalized likelihood is given and shown to correspond to a variable halfwidth kernel smoother where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Kurt S. Riedel

There has been growing interest in the AI community for precise uncertainty quantification. Conditional density models f(y|x), where x represents potentially high-dimensional features, are an integral part of uncertainty quantification in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-26 David Zhao , Niccolò Dalmasso , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

In this paper we consider the problem of obtaining sharp bounds for the performance of temporal difference (TD) methods with linear function approximation for policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes. We show that a simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Sergey Samsonov , Daniil Tiapkin , Alexey Naumov , Eric Moulines