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Major events like natural catastrophes or the COVID-19 crisis have impact both on the financial market and on claim arrival intensities and claim sizes of insurers. Thus, when optimal investment and reinsurance strategies have to be…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Gregor Leimcke

We propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model for the optimal participation of energy communities in electricity markets. The multi-stage aspect captures the different times at which variable renewable generation and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Albert Solà Vilalta , Ignasi Mañé , F. - Javier Heredia

COVID-19 is an infectious disease that mostly affects the respiratory system. At the time of this research being performed, there were more than 1.4 million cases of COVID-19, and one of the biggest anxieties is not just our health, but our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-07 Daniel Štifanić , Jelena Musulin , Adrijana Miočević , Sandi Baressi Šegota , Roman Šubić , Zlatan Car

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has posed unprecedented challenges for the utilities and grid operators around the world. In this work, we focus on the problem of load forecasting. With strict social distancing restrictions, power…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 Yize Chen , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

Since the first outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic at the end of 2019, data has been made available on the number of infections, deaths and recoveries for all countries of the World, and that data can be used for statistical analysis. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Dávid Tátrai , Zoltán Várallyay

Decisions for a variable renewable resource generators commitment in the energy market are typically made in advance when little information is obtainable about wind availability and market prices. Much research has been published…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Jose L. Crespo-Vazquez , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Xin Fang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Because of the ongoing Covid-19 crisis, supply chain management performance seems to be struggling. The purpose of this paper is to examine a variety of critical factors related to the application of contingency theory to determine its…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-04 George Rapciewicz , Donald Buresh

This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jozef Barunik , Jiri Kukacka

Tanker water systems play critical role in providing adequate service to meet potable water demands in the face of acute water crisis in many cities globally. Managing tanker movements among the supply and demand sides requires an efficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Abhilasha Maheshwari , Shamik Misra , Ravindra Gudi , Senthilmurugan Subbiah , Chrysi Laspidou

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

This paper investigates the effect of the novel coronavirus and crude oil prices on the United States (US) economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Using daily data for the period January 21-March 13, 2020, our Autoregressive Distributed Lag…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-18 Claudiu Albulescu

The growing conflicts in and about oil exporting regions and speculations about volatile oil prices during the last decade have renewed the public interest in predictions for the near future oil production and consumption. Unfortunately,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-29 Michael Dittmar

We consider a risk-averse stochastic capacity planning problem under uncertain demand in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainty, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to adjust the capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

In April 2020, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange temporarily switched the pricing formula for West Texas Intermediate oil market options from the Black model to the Bachelier model. In this context, we introduce an additive Bachelier model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-26 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

COVID-19 pandemic has brought the whole world to a stand-still over the last few months. In particular the pace at which pandemic has spread has taken everybody off-guard. The Governments across the world have responded by imposing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Shreekanth M. Prabhu , Natarajan Subramaniam

The spread of COVID-19 makes it essential to investigate its prevalence. In such investigation research, as far as we know, the widely-used sampling methods didn't use the information sufficiently about the numbers of the previously…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-04 Ze Liu , Siyu Yi , Jianghu , Dong , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou

We provide a new investigation of the relationship between oil and stock prices in the context of the outbreak of the new coronavirus crisis. Specifically, we assess to what extent the uncertainty induced by COVID-19 affects the interaction…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-13 Claudiu Albulescu , Michel Mina , Cornel Oros

The results of an alternative methodology for making predictions about the COVID-19 pandemic in Greece are presented. Instead of focusing on the various population profiles (subjected to instabilities introduced by the fitting process),…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Dimitris M. Manias , Dimitris G. Patsatzis , Dimitris A. Goussis