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Gaussian processes (GPs) are highly flexible function estimators used for geospatial analysis, nonparametric regression, and machine learning, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Vecchia approximations of GPs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Wenlong Gong , Daniel Zilber

Many scientific phenomena are studied using computer experiments consisting of multiple runs of a computer model while varying the input settings. Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular tool for the analysis of computer experiments,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Earl Lawrence

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used as models for functions, time series, and spatial fields, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Focusing on the typical setting of modeling data as a GP plus an additive noise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Generalized Gaussian processes (GGPs) are highly flexible models that combine latent GPs with potentially non-Gaussian likelihoods from the exponential family. GGPs can be used in a variety of settings, including GP classification,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Daniel Zilber , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are vital for modeling and predicting irregularly-spaced, large geospatial datasets. However, their computations often pose significant challenges in large-scale applications. One popular method to approximate GPs…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-24 Qilong Pan , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used for geospatial analysis, but they suffer from high computational complexity when dealing with massive data. For instance, the log-likelihood function required in estimating the statistical model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Qilong Pan , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun

Spatial generalized linear mixed-effects models are popularly used to analyze spatially indexed univariate responses. However, with modern technology, it is common to observe vector-valued mixed-type responses, e.g., a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Arghya Mukherjee , Arnab Hazra , Dootika Vats

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

Gaussian process is an indispensable tool in clustering functional data, owing to it's flexibility and inherent uncertainty quantification. However, when the functional data is observed over a large grid (say, of length $p$), Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-15 Anirban Chakraborty , Abhisek Chakraborty

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

An important feature of Bayesian statistics is the opportunity to do sequential inference: the posterior distribution obtained after seeing a dataset can be used as prior for a second inference. However, when Monte Carlo sampling methods…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-24 Bram Thijssen , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

Max-stable processes are the most popular models for high-impact spatial extreme events, as they arise as the only possible limits of spatially-indexed block maxima. However, likelihood inference for such models suffers severely from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Raphaël Huser , Michael L. Stein , Peng Zhong
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