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In this work, we introduce a new methodology for inferring the interaction structure of discrete valued time series which are Poisson distributed. While most related methods are premised on continuous state stochastic processes, in fact,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Jeremie Fish , Jie Sun , Erik Bollt

We consider the problem of learning a non-deterministic probabilistic system consistent with a given finite set of positive and negative tree samples. Consistency is defined with respect to strong simulation conformance. We propose learning…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-07-24 Anvesh Komuravelli , Corina S. Pasareanu , Edmund M. Clarke

This study examines the identifiability of interaction kernels in mean-field equations of interacting particles or agents, an area of growing interest across various scientific and engineering fields. The main focus is identifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quanjun Lang , Fei Lu

Data-driven control algorithms use observations of system dynamics to construct an implicit model for the purpose of control. However, in practice, data-driven techniques often require excessive sample sizes, which may be infeasible in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Cyrus Neary , Franck Djeumou , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Ufuk Topcu

We propose a hierarchy of multi-level kinetic Monte Carlo methods for sampling high-dimensional, stochastic lattice particle dynamics with complex interactions. The method is based on the efficient coupling of different spatial resolution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-08-06 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

Fully cooperative multiagent systems - those in which agents share a joint utility model- is of special interest in AI. A key problem is that of ensuring that the actions of individual agents are coordinated, especially in settings where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Craig Boutilier

Motivated by the study of social insects, we introduce a stochastic model based on interacting particle systems in order to understand the effect of communication on the division of labor. Members of the colony are located on the vertex set…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Alesandro Arcuri , Nicolas Lanchier

We present our recent work on stochastic particle systems on complex networks. As a noninteracting system we first consider the diffusive motion of a random walker on heterogeneous complex networks. We find that the random walker is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jae Dong Noh

We present a novel kernel-based machine learning algorithm for identifying the low-dimensional geometry of the effective dynamics of high-dimensional multiscale stochastic systems. Recently, the authors developed a mathematical framework…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Andreas Bittracher , Stefan Klus , Boumediene Hamzi , Péter Koltai , Christof Schütte

Intelligent agents can cope with sensory-rich environments by learning task-agnostic state abstractions. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to approximate causal states, which are the coarsest partition of the joint history of actions…

We consider the problem of learning the underlying graph of an unknown Ising model on p spins from a collection of i.i.d. samples generated from the model. We suggest a new estimator that is computationally efficient and requires a number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-17 Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Michael Chertkov

Adaptive physical and biological systems continually process fluctuating information from their environments. When the environment is nonstationary, inference itself becomes a nonequilibrium process with thermodynamic cost. We analyse a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-23 Aditya Gupta

We study oracle complexity of gradient based methods for stochastic approximation problems. Though in many settings optimal algorithms and tight lower bounds are known for such problems, these optimal algorithms do not achieve the best…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-20 Jingzhao Zhang , Hongzhou Lin , Subhro Das , Suvrit Sra , Ali Jadbabaie

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We present a novel approach to learn a kernel-based regression function. It is based on the useof conical combinations of data-based parameterized kernels and on a new stochastic convex optimization procedure of which we establish…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-01-13 Pierre Machart , Thomas Peel , Liva Ralaivola , Sandrine Anthoine , Hervé Glotin

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

In this paper, we study numerical approximations for optimal control of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with partial observations. The system state evolves in a Hilbert space, whereas observations are given in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian