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We address the problem of causal effect estimation in the presence of unobserved confounding, but where proxies for the latent confounder(s) are observed. We propose two kernel-based methods for nonlinear causal effect estimation in this…

Modeling multi-agent systems on networks is a fundamental challenge in a wide variety of disciplines. Given data consisting of multiple trajectories, we jointly infer the (weighted) network and the interaction kernel, which determine,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Quanjun Lang , Xiong Wang , Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni

In this paper, we investigate the data-driven identification of asymmetric interaction kernels in the Motsch-Tadmor model based on observed trajectory data. The model under consideration is governed by a class of semilinear evolution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Jinchao Feng , Sui Tang

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, governed by transport and diffusion, that converges in a mean-field limit to the solution of a McKean-Vlasov equation. From the observation of a trajectory of the system over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Laetitia Della Maestra , Marc Hoffmann

Stochastic gradient descent algorithms for training linear and kernel predictors are gaining more and more importance, thanks to their scalability. While various methods have been proposed to speed up their convergence, the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Francesco Orabona

Nonparametric estimation of nonlocal interaction kernels is crucial in various applications involving interacting particle systems. The inference challenge, situated at the nexus of statistical learning and inverse problems, arises from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Xiong Wang , Inbar Seroussi , Fei Lu

Model inference for dynamical systems aims to estimate the future behaviour of a system from observations. Purely model-free statistical methods, such as Artificial Neural Networks, tend to perform poorly for such tasks. They are therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-07 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

This work focuses on the mean field stochastic partial differential equations with nonlinear kernels. We first prove the existence and uniqueness of strong and weak solutions for mean field stochastic partial differential equations in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu

The problem of inferring pair-wise and higher-order interactions in complex systems involving large numbers of interacting variables, from observational data, is fundamental to many fields. Known to the statistical physics community as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Sjoerd Viktor Beentjes , Ava Khamseh

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

We study recursive maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic interacting particle systems based on continuous observation of a single particle. In this regime, consistent estimation of the finite-particle log-likelihood is not possible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We address the problem of identifying functional interactions among stochastic neurons with variable-length memory from their spiking activity. The neuronal network is modeled by a stochastic system of interacting point processes with…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ricardo F. Ferreira , Matheus E. Pacola , Vitor G. Schiavone , Rodrigo F. O. Pena

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

We provide a methodology for learning sparse statistical models that use as features all possible multiplicative interactions among an underlying atomic set of features. While the resulting optimization problems are exponentially sized, our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Hristo Paskov , Alex Paskov , Robert West

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Natural language processing often involves computations with semantic or syntactic graphs to facilitate sophisticated reasoning based on structural relationships. While convolution kernels provide a powerful tool for comparing graph…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Sahil Garg , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We propose a neural network approach to model general interaction dynamics and an adjoint based stochastic gradient descent algorithm to calibrate its parameters. The parameter calibration problem is considered as optimal control problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Simone Göttlich , Claudia Totzeck

We introduce a stochastic agent-based model for the flocking dynamics of self-propelled particles that exhibit velocity-alignment interactions with neighbours within their field of view. The stochasticity in the dynamics of the model arises…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Trilochan Bagarti , Shakti N. Menon

We propose a framework for the joint inference of network topology, multi-type interaction kernels, and latent type assignments in heterogeneous interacting particle systems from multi-trajectory data. This learning task is a challenging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Quanjun Lang , Xiong Wang , Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni