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Understanding, predicting, and learning from other people's actions are fundamental human social-cognitive skills. Little is known about how and when we consider other's actions and outcomes when making our own decisions. We developed a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-21 Julia Anna Adrian , Siddharth Siddharth , Syed Zain Ali Baquar , Tzyy-Ping Jung , Gedeon Deák

A primary indicator of success in the fight against COVID-19 is avoiding stress on critical care infrastructure and services (CCIS). However, CCIS will likely remain stressed until sustained herd immunity is built. There are also secondary…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Ashlesha Nesarikar , Waqas Haque , Suchith Vuppala , Abhijit Nesarikar

Group testing is a screening strategy that involves dividing a population into several disjointed groups of subjects. In its simplest implementation, each group is tested with a single test in the first phase, while in the second phase only…

Breaking a complex bio-social phenomenon (epidemic) into its components, considering the processes that determine its dynamics, formalizing the accepted hypotheses in mathematical equations, selecting appropriate experimental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-16 A. V. Sokolov , L. A. Sokolova

In this paper, we provide insights on how much testing and social distancing is required to control COVID-19. To this end, we develop a compartmental model that accounts for key aspects of the disease: 1) incubation time, 2) age-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Sara Grundel , Stefan Heyder , Thomas Hotz , Tobias K. S. Ritschel , Philipp Sauerteig , Karl Worthmann

A key challenge in estimating the infection fatality rate (IFR) -- and its relation with various factors of interest -- is determining the total number of cases. The total number of cases is not known because not everyone is tested, but…

We consider a variant of the best arm identification task in stochastic multi-armed bandits. Motivated by risk-averse decision-making problems, our goal is to identify a set of $m$ arms with the highest $\tau$-quantile values within a fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Mengyan Zhang , Cheng Soon Ong

As humanity struggles to contain the global COVID-19 pandemic, privacy concerns are emerging regarding confinement, tracing and testing. The scientific debate concerning privacy of the COVID-19 tracing efforts has been intense, especially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Marcel Hollenstein , David Naccache , Peter B. Rønne , Peter Y A Ryan , Robert Weil , Ofer Yifrach-Stav

Compartmental models are widely adopted to describe and predict the spreading of infectious diseases. The unknown parameters of such models need to be estimated from the data. Furthermore, when some of the model variables are not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-18 Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

While COVID-19 has impacted humans for a long time, people search the web for pandemic-related information, causing anxiety. From a theoretic perspective, previous studies have confirmed that the number of COVID-19 cases can cause negative…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Linjiang Guo , Zijian Feng , Yuxue Chi , Mingzhu Wang , Yijun Liu

Multi armed bandit (MAB) algorithms have been increasingly used to complement or integrate with A/B tests and randomized clinical trials in e-commerce, healthcare, and policymaking. Recent developments incorporate possible delayed feedback.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Lei Shi , Jingshen Wang , Tianhao Wu

Selecting the best large language model (LLM) for a fixed benchmark is often expensive, since exhaustive evaluation requires running every model on every example. Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms can reduce the number of LLM calls by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Elad Tolochinsky , Yaniv Tenzer , Yaniv Romano

AI plays an important role in COVID-19 identification. Computer vision and deep learning techniques can assist in determining COVID-19 infection with Chest X-ray Images. However, for the protection and respect of the privacy of patients,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Boyi Liu , Bingjie Yan , Yize Zhou , Yifan Yang , Yixian Zhang

The celebrated multi-armed bandit problem in decision theory models the basic trade-off between exploration, or learning about the state of a system, and exploitation, or utilizing the system. In this paper we study the variant of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-06-19 Sudipto Guha , Kamesh Munagala

Albeit numerous countries relied on contact-tracing (CT) applications as an epidemic control measure against the COVID-19 pandemic, the debate around their effectiveness is still open. Most studies indicate that very high levels of adoption…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-26 Ariadna Fosch , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

COVID-19 continues to cause a significant impact on public health. To minimize this impact, policy makers undertake containment measures that however, when carried out disproportionately to the actual threat, as a result if errorneous…

The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United States has forced federal and local governments to implement containment measures. Moreover, the severity of the situation has sparked engagement by both the research and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Min Lu , Hemant Ishwaran

The detection and management of diseases become quite complicated when pathogens contain asymptomatic phenotypes amongst their ranks, as evident during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Spreading of diseases has been studied extensively under…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Saptarshi Sinha , Deep Nath , Soumen Roy

More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco
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