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This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

We present a generic epidemic model with stochastic parameters, in which the dynamics self-organize to a critical state with suppressed exponential growth. More precisely, the dynamics evolve into a quasi-steady-state, where the effective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

Under constant selection, each trait has a fixed fitness, and small mutation rates allow populations to efficiently exploit the optimal trait. Therefore it is reasonable to expect mutation rates will evolve downwards. However, we find this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-23 Brian Mintz , Feng Fu

We study a general setting of neutral evolution in which the population is of finite, constant size and can have spatial structure. Mutation leads to different genetic types ("traits"), which can be discrete or continuous. Under minimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-02 Alex McAvoy , Ben Adlam , Benjamin Allen , Martin A. Nowak

In this paper we investigate a structured population model with distributed delay. Our model incorporates two different types of nonlinearities. Specifically we assume that individual growth and mortality are affected by scramble…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Dandan Hu , József Z. Farkas , Gang Huang

The non-equilibrium steady states emerging from stochastic resetting to a distribution is studied. We show that for a range of processes, the steady-state moments can be expressed as a linear combination of the moments of the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-10 Kristian Stølevik Olsen

Motivated by recent developments of quasi-stationary Monte Carlo methods, we investigate the stability of quasi-stationary distributions of killed Markov processes under perturbations of the generator. We first consider a general bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Daniel Rudolf , Andi Q. Wang

A model for diffusion on a cubic lattice with a random distribution of traps is developed. The traps are redistributed at certain time intervals. Such models are useful for describing systems showing dynamic disorder, such as ion-conducting…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Mandal , R. Dasgupta

We scrutinize the anomalies in diffusion observed in an extended long-range system of classical rotors, the HMF model. Under suitable preparation, the system falls into long-lived quasi-stationary states presenting super-diffusion of rotor…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Luis G. Moyano , Celia Anteneodo

We consider a nonequilibrium reaction-diffusion model on a finite one dimensional lattice with bulk and boundary dynamics inspired by Glauber dynamics of the Ising model. We show that the model has a rich algebraic structure that we use to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-20 Arvind Ayyer , Kirone Mallick

We present analytical expressions for the time-dependent and stationary probability distributions corresponding to a stochastically perturbed one-dimensional flow with critical points, in two physically relevant situations: delayed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Balakrishnan , C. Van den Broeck , I. Bena

We briefly discuss the state of the art on the anomalous dynamics of the Hamiltonian Mean Field model. We stress the important role of the initial conditions for understanding the microscopic nature of the intriguing metastable quasi…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

We discuss various limits of a simple random exchange model that can be used for the distribution of wealth. We start from a discrete state space - discrete time version of this model and, under suitable scaling, we show its functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bertram Düring , Nicos Georgiou , Sara Merino-Aceituno , Enrico Scalas

In stochastic processes with absorbing states, the quasi-stationary distribution provides valuable insights into the long-term behaviour prior to absorption. In this work, we revisit two well-established numerical methods for its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 Sara Oliver-Bonafoux , Javier Aguilar , Tobias Galla , Raúl Toral

The purpose of this paper is to provide a complete description of the eigenvalues of the generator of a neutral multi-type Moran model, and the applications to the study of the speed of convergence to stationarity. The Moran model we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Josué Corujo

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We are interested in the dynamics of a population structured by a phenotypic trait. Individuals reproduce sexually, which is represented by a non-linear integral operator. This operator is combined to a multiplicative operator representing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Gaël Raoul

For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais