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In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

A general methodology is presented for the construction and effective use of control variates for reversible MCMC samplers. The values of the coefficients of the optimal linear combination of the control variates are computed, and adaptive,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-05 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Petros Dellaportas

Recent variational inference methods use stochastic gradient estimators whose variance is not well understood. Theoretical guarantees for these estimators are important to understand when these methods will or will not work. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Justin Domke

We propose a simple and general variant of the standard reparameterized gradient estimator for the variational evidence lower bound. Specifically, we remove a part of the total derivative with respect to the variational parameters that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Geoffrey Roeder , Yuhuai Wu , David Duvenaud

Driven by several successful applications such as in stochastic gradient descent or in Bayesian computation, control variates have become a major tool for Monte Carlo integration. However, standard methods do not allow the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-06 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

We consider a class of parameter-dependent optimal control problems of elliptic PDEs with constraints of general type on the control variable. Applying the concept of variational discretization, [4], together with techniques from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Ahmad Ahmad Ali , Michael Hinze

A general methodology is introduced for the construction and effective application of control variates to estimation problems involving data from reversible MCMC samplers. We propose the use of a specific class of functions as control…

Computation · Statistics 2010-08-10 Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Simultaneously monitoring changes in both the mean and variance is a fundamental problem in Statistical Process Control, and numerous methods have been developed to address it. However, many existing approaches face notable limitations:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Gokul Parakulum , Jun Li

A non-parametric extension of control variates is presented. These leverage gradient information on the sampling density to achieve substantial variance reduction. It is not required that the sampling density be normalised. The novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-05 Chris J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Nicolas Chopin

An important step for any causal inference study design is understanding the distribution of the treated and control subjects in terms of measured baseline covariates. However, not all baseline variation is equally important. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Rachael C. Aikens , Michael Baiocchi

Variational methods are attractive for computing Bayesian inference for highly parametrized models and large datasets where exact inference is impractical. They approximate a target distribution - either the posterior or an augmented…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Michael Stanley Smith , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , David J. Nott

This paper studies the use of a machine learning-based estimator as a control variate for mitigating the variance of Monte Carlo sampling. Specifically, we seek to uncover the key factors that influence the efficiency of control variates in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Jose Blanchet , Haoxuan Chen , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying

Learning in models with discrete latent variables is challenging due to high variance gradient estimators. Generally, approaches have relied on control variates to reduce the variance of the REINFORCE estimator. Recent work (Jang et al.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 George Tucker , Andriy Mnih , Chris J. Maddison , Dieterich Lawson , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

In this work, we develop a reduced-basis approach for the efficient computation of parametrized expected values, for a large number of parameter values, using the control variate method to reduce the variance. Two algorithms are proposed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Sebastien Boyaval , Tony Lelievre

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

A new methodology is presented for the construction of control variates to reduce the variance of additive functionals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. Our control variates are definedthrough the minimization of the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Nicolas Brosse , Alain Durmus , Sean Meyn , Eric Moulines , Anand Radhakrishnan

We develop a scalable deep non-parametric generative model by augmenting deep Gaussian processes with a recognition model. Inference is performed in a novel scalable variational framework where the variational posterior distributions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-02 Zhenwen Dai , Andreas Damianou , Javier González , Neil Lawrence

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park

We consider a general optimal control problem in the setting of gradient flows. Two approximations of the problem are presented, both relying on the variational reformulation of gradient-flow dynamics via the Weighted-Energy-Dissipation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Takeshi Fukao , Ulisse Stefanelli , Riccardo Voso

Nonparametric control charts that can detect arbitrary distributional changes are highly desirable due to their flexibility to adapt to different distributional assumptions and distributional changes. However, most of such control charts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Jun Li