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Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

We present a brief history of the field of interpretable machine learning (IML), give an overview of state-of-the-art interpretation methods, and discuss challenges. Research in IML has boomed in recent years. As young as the field is, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-24 Christoph Molnar , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Bernd Bischl

Machine Learning (ML) models are often complex and difficult to interpret due to their 'black-box' characteristics. Interpretability of a ML model is usually defined as the degree to which a human can understand the cause of decisions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Simon Kocbek , Primoz Kocbek , Leona Cilar , Gregor Stiglic

Deep learning models have gained great popularity in statistical modeling because they lead to very competitive regression models, often outperforming classical statistical models such as generalized linear models. The disadvantage of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Ronald Richman , Mario V. Wüthrich

Complex black-box predictive models may have high accuracy, but opacity causes problems like lack of trust, lack of stability, sensitivity to concept drift. On the other hand, interpretable models require more work related to feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Alicja Gosiewska , Aleksandra Gacek , Piotr Lubon , Przemyslaw Biecek

Supervised machine learning often operates on the data-driven paradigm, wherein internal model parameters are autonomously optimized to converge predicted outputs with the ground truth, devoid of explicitly programming rules or a priori…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Daniel Geissler , Bo Zhou , Mengxi Liu , Paul Lukowicz

We introduce a local surrogate approach for explainable time-series forecasting. An initially non-interpretable predictive model to improve the forecast of a classical time-series 'base model' is used. 'Explainability' of the correction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Alfredo Lopez , Florian Sobieczky

Adaptive causal representation learning from observational data is presented, integrated with an efficient sample splitting technique within the semiparametric estimating equation framework. The support points sample splitting (SPSS), a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-25 Lynda Aouar , Han Yu

Landslides are notoriously difficult to predict because numerous spatially and temporally varying factors contribute to slope stability. Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been shown to improve prediction accuracy but are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Khaled Youssef , Kevin Shao , Seulgi Moon , Louis-Serge Bouchard

A fundamental question on the use of ML models concerns the explanation of their predictions for increasing transparency in decision-making. Although several interpretability methods have emerged, some gaps regarding the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-13 Gilson Y. Shimizu , Rafael Izbicki , Andre C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

Large Language Models (LLMs) are becoming increasingly popular in pervasive computing due to their versatility and strong performance. However, despite their ubiquitous use, the exact mechanisms underlying their outstanding performance…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Alhassan Abdelhalim , Janick Edinger , Sören Laue , Michaela Regneri

Tree-based machine learning models such as random forests, decision trees, and gradient boosted trees are the most popular non-linear predictive models used in practice today, yet comparatively little attention has been paid to explaining…

High-dimensional time series are common in many domains. Since human cognition is not optimized to work well in high-dimensional spaces, these areas could benefit from interpretable low-dimensional representations. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Vincent Fortuin , Matthias Hüser , Francesco Locatello , Heiko Strathmann , Gunnar Rätsch

The rapid evolution of machine learning (ML) has led to the widespread adoption of complex "black box" models, such as deep neural networks and ensemble methods. These models exhibit exceptional predictive performance, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Moncef Garouani , Josiane Mothe , Ayah Barhrhouj , Julien Aligon

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

As artificial intelligence (AI) systems become increasingly integrated into critical decision-making processes, the need for transparent and interpretable models has become paramount. In this article we present a new ruleset creation method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Mario Parrón Verdasco , Esteban García-Cuesta

There is a need of ensuring machine learning models that are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end-users. Further, interpretable machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Gregor Stiglic , Primoz Kocbek , Nino Fijacko , Marinka Zitnik , Katrien Verbert , Leona Cilar

Supervised topic models can help clinical researchers find interpretable cooccurence patterns in count data that are relevant for diagnostics. However, standard formulations of supervised Latent Dirichlet Allocation have two problems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-07 Michael C. Hughes , Huseyin Melih Elibol , Thomas McCoy , Roy Perlis , Finale Doshi-Velez

As the use of deep learning techniques has grown across various fields over the past decade, complaints about the opaqueness of the black-box models have increased, resulting in an increased focus on transparency in deep learning models.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Siwen Luo , Hamish Ivison , Caren Han , Josiah Poon

Surrogate Neural Networks are nowadays routinely used in industry as substitutes for computationally demanding engineering simulations (e.g., in structural analysis). They allow to generate faster predictions and thus analyses in industrial…