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This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can…

We introduce an approach to quickly and accurately approximate the cumulative distribution function of multivariate Gaussian distributions arising from spatial Gaussian processes. This approximation is trivially parallelizable and simple to…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-31 Mauricio Nascimento , Benjamin A. Shaby

We present a new method of modelling numerical systems where there are two distinct output solution classes, for example tipping points or bifurcations. Gaussian process emulation is a useful tool in understanding these complex systems and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , Daniel Williamson

Multiscale modeling is a systematic approach to describe the behavior of complex systems by coupling models from different scales. The approach has been demonstrated to be very effective in areas of science as diverse as materials science,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Ting Wang , Kenneth W. Leiter , Petr Plechac , Jaroslaw Knap

Coastal communities face significant risk from storm-induced coastal flooding, which causes substantial societal and economic losses worldwide. Machine learning techniques have increasingly been integrated into coastal hazard modeling,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Ziyue Liu , Mohammad Ahmadi Gharehtoragh , Brenna Kari Losch , David R. Johnson

Functional covariates arise in many scientific and engineering applications when model inputs take the form of time-dependent or spatially distributed profiles, such as varying boundary conditions or changing material behaviours. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Razak Christophe Sabi Gninkou , Andrés F. López-Lopera , Franck Massa , Rodolphe Le Riche

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

Solving hydrologic inverse problems usually requires repetitive forward simulations. One approach to mitigate the computational cost is to build a surrogate model, i.e., an approximate mapping from model parameters (input) to observable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Jiangjiang Zhang , Weixuan Li

Learning precise surrogate models of complex computer simulations and physical machines often require long-lasting or expensive experiments. Furthermore, the modeled physical dependencies exhibit nonlinear and nonstationary behavior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Matthias Bitzer , Mona Meister , Christoph Zimmer

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth

Computational models are utilized in many scientific domains to simulate complex systems. Sensitivity analysis is an important practice to aid our understanding of the mechanics of these models and the processes they describe, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-12 Massimo Aufiero , Lucas Janson

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for uncertainty-aware function approximation and sequential decision-making. Unfortunately, their classical formulation does not scale gracefully to large amounts of data and modern hardware for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jihao Andreas Lin

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert

Surrogate modeling is a viable solution for applications involving repetitive evaluations of expensive computational fluid dynamics models, such as uncertainty quantification and inverse problems. This study proposes a multi-layer…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-24 Gurpreet S. Hora , Marco G. Giometto

Building design optimization often depends on physics-based simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, which, although accurate, are computationally expensive and slow. Surrogate models provide a faster alternative, yet most are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Piragash Manmatharasan , Girma Bitsuamlak , Katarina Grolinger
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