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Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

When partitioning workflows in realistic scenarios, the knowledge of the processing units is often vague or unknown. A naive approach to addressing this issue is to perform many controlled experiments for different workloads, each…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Freddy C. Chua , Bernardo A. Huberman

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Choosing an optimal strategy for hierarchical group testing is an important problem for practitioners who are interested in disease screening with limited resources. For example, when screening for infectious diseases in large populations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Yaakov Malinovsky , Gregory Haber , Paul S. Albert

Group testing, a problem with diverse applications across multiple disciplines, traditionally assumes independence across nodes' states. Recent research, however, focuses on real-world scenarios that often involve correlations among nodes,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Hesam Nikpey , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

The widespread adoption of online randomized controlled experiments (A/B Tests) for decision-making has created ongoing capacity constraints which necessitate interim analyses. As a consequence, platform users are increasingly motivated to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Abbas Zaidi , Rina Friedberg , Samir Khan , Yao-Yang Leow , Maulik Soneji , Houssam Nassif , Richard Mudd

Model-based clustering is a powerful tool that is often used to discover hidden structure in data by grouping observational units that exhibit similar response values. Recently, clustering methods have been developed that permit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Sally Paganin , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

A common technique to reduce model bias in time-series forecasting is to use an ensemble of predictive models and pool their output into an ensemble forecast. In cases where each predictive model has different biases, however, it is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Dhruvit Patel , Alexander Wikner

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

This paper provides a short introduction to the group testing problem, and reviews various aspects of its statistical physics formulation. Two main issues are discussed: the optimal design of pools used in a two-stage testing experiment,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Marc Mezard , Marco Tarzia , Cristina Toninelli

The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has witnessed a rapid growth in theoretical and applied contributions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Yann McLatchie , Sölvi Rögnvaldsson , Frank Weber , Aki Vehtari

Medical diagnostic testing can be made significantly more efficient using pooled testing protocols. These typically require a sparse infection signal and use either binary or real-valued entries of O(1). However, existing methods do not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-15 Mansoor Sheikh , David Saad

We consider the problem of group testing (pooled testing), first introduced by Dorfman. For non-adaptive testing strategies, we refer to a non-defective item as `intruding' if it only appears in positive tests. Such items cause…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Letian Yu , Fraser Daly , Oliver Johnson

Group-formation experiments, in which experimental units are randomly assigned to groups, are a powerful tool for studying peer effects in the social sciences. Existing design and analysis approaches allow researchers to draw inference from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Hui Xu , Guillaume Basse

We consider the problem of identifying infected individuals in a population of size N. We introduce a group testing approach that uses significantly fewer than N tests when infection prevalence is low. The most common approach to group…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Paolo Bertolotti , Ali Jadbabaie

The group testing problem is concerned with identifying a small number $k \sim n^\theta$ for $\theta \in (0,1)$ of infected individuals in a large population of size $n$. At our disposal is a testing procedure that allows us to test groups…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Max Hahn-Klimroth , Philipp Loick

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Gaussian empirical Bayes methods usually maintain a precision independence assumption: The unknown parameters of interest are independent from the known standard errors of the estimates. This assumption is often theoretically questionable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Jiafeng Chen

In many contexts it is useful to predict the number of individuals in some population who will initiate a particular activity during a given period. For example, the number of users who will install a software update, the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Thomas Richardson , Yu Liu , James McQueen , Doug Hains