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Related papers: Bid Prediction in Repeated Auctions with Learning

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We consider the problem of learning optimal reserve price in repeated auctions against non-myopic bidders, who may bid strategically in order to gain in future rounds even if the single-round auctions are truthful. Previous algorithms,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Zhiyi Huang , Jinyan Liu , Xiangning Wang

Many economic applications including optimal pricing and inventory management requires prediction of demand based on sales data and estimation of sales reaction to a price change. There is a wide range of econometric approaches which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Evgeniy M. Ozhegov , Daria Teterina

In this paper, we study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to bid adaptively in repeated first-price auctions to maximize cumulative payoff. This problem arises from the recent industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

In this study, we apply reinforcement learning techniques and propose what we call reinforcement mechanism design to tackle the dynamic pricing problem in sponsored search auctions. In contrast to previous game-theoretical approaches that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Weiran Shen , Binghui Peng , Hanpeng Liu , Michael Zhang , Ruohan Qian , Yan Hong , Zhi Guo , Zongyao Ding , Pengjun Lu , Pingzhong Tang

First-price auctions have largely replaced traditional bidding approaches based on Vickrey auctions in programmatic advertising. As far as learning is concerned, first-price auctions are more challenging because the optimal bidding strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Juliette Achddou , Olivier Cappé , Aurélien Garivier

We analyze the performance of heterogeneous learning agents in asset markets with stochastic payoffs. Our main focus is on comparing Bayesian learners and no-regret learners who compete in markets and identifying the conditions under which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-04 David Easley , Yoav Kolumbus , Eva Tardos

We study revenue optimization in a repeated auction between a single seller and a single buyer. Traditionally, the design of repeated auctions requires strong modeling assumptions about the bidder behavior, such as it being myopic, infinite…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Shipra Agrawal , Constantinos Daskalakis , Vahab Mirrokni , Balasubramanian Sivan

Recent work has demonstrated that problems-- particularly imitation learning and structured prediction-- where a learner's predictions influence the input-distribution it is tested on can be naturally addressed by an interactive approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-24 Stephane Ross , J. Andrew Bagnell

We study the bidding problem in repeated uniform price multi-unit auctions from the perspective of a value-maximizing buyer. The buyer aims to maximize their cumulative value over $T$ rounds while adhering to per-round return-on-investment…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Negin Golrezaei , Sourav Sahoo

Sponsored search auctions constitute one of the most successful applications of microeconomic mechanisms. In mechanism design, auctions are usually designed to incentivize advertisers to bid their truthful valuations and to assure both the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Nicola Gatti , Alessandro Lazaric , Marco Rocco , Francesco Trovò

Repeated multi-unit auctions, where a seller allocates multiple identical items over many rounds, are common mechanisms in electricity markets and treasury auctions. We compare the two predominant formats: uniform-price and discriminatory…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Marius Potfer , Vianney Perchet

We study the problem of finding the optimal bidding strategy for an advertiser in a multi-platform auction setting. The competition on a platform is captured by a value and a cost function, mapping bidding strategies to value and cost…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Gagan Aggarwal , Anupam Gupta , Xizhi Tan , Mingfei Zhao

We study online decision making problems under resource constraints, where both reward and cost functions are drawn from distributions that may change adversarially over time. We focus on two canonical settings: $(i)$ online resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Francesco Emanuele Stradi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti , Christian Kroer

In this paper, we analyze a natural learning algorithm for uniform pacing of advertising budgets, equipped to adapt to varying ad sale platform conditions. On the demand side, advertisers face a fundamental technical challenge in automating…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-14 MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Max Springer

We study the online learning problem of a bidder who participates in repeated auctions. With the goal of maximizing his T-period payoff, the bidder determines the optimal allocation of his budget among his bids for $K$ goods at each period.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Sevi Baltaoglu , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

This paper presents a bidding system for sponsored search auctions under an unknown valuation model. This formulation assumes that the bidder's value is unknown, evolving arbitrarily, and observed only upon winning an auction. Unlike…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Danil Provodin , Jérémie Joudioux , Eduard Duryev

We study a repeated trading problem in which a mechanism designer facilitates trade between a single seller and multiple buyers. Our model generalizes the classic bilateral trade setting to a multi-buyer environment. Specifically, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi

The convergence properties of learning dynamics in repeated auctions is a timely and important question, with numerous applications in, e.g., online advertising markets. This work focuses on repeated first-price auctions where bidders with…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Xiaotie Deng , Xinyan Hu , Tao Lin , Weiqiang Zheng

Maximizing utility with a budget constraint is the primary goal for advertisers in real-time bidding (RTB) systems. The policy maximizing the utility is referred to as the optimal bidding strategy. Earlier works on optimal bidding strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Aritra Ghosh , Saayan Mitra , Somdeb Sarkhel , Viswanathan Swaminathan

We analyze a scenario in which software agents implemented as regret-minimizing algorithms engage in a repeated auction on behalf of their users. We study first-price and second-price auctions, as well as their generalized versions (e.g.,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Yoav Kolumbus , Noam Nisan