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We present a System Dynamics (SD) model of the Covid-19 pandemic spread in India. The detailed age-structured compartment-based model endogenously captures various disease transmission pathways, expanding significantly from the standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Jayendran Venkateswaran , Om Damani

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Traditionally, the identification of parameters in the formulation and solution of inverse problems considers that models, variables and mathematical parameters are free of uncertainties. This aspect simplifies the estimation process, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt

Motivated by massive outbreaks of COVID-19 that occurred even in populations with high vaccine uptake, we propose a novel multi-population temporal network model for the spread of recurrent epidemic diseases. We study the effect of human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

For rapidly spreading diseases where many cases show no symptoms, swift and effective contact tracing is essential. While exposure notification applications provide alerts on potential exposures, a fully automated system is needed to track…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Sofia Hurtado , Radu Marculescu

We present a general framework for adaptive allocation of viral tests in social contact networks. We pose and solve several complementary problems. First, we consider the design of a social sensing system whose objective is the early…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Pau Batlle , Joan Bruna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Victor M. Preciado

Epidemics and pandemics have ravaged human life since time. To combat these, novel ideas have always been created and deployed by humanity, with varying degrees of success. At this very moment, the COVID-19 pandemic is the singular global…

In the current COVID-19 pandemic situation, there is an urgent need to screen infected patients quickly and accurately. Using deep learning models trained on chest X-ray images can become an efficient method for screening COVID-19 patients…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Shruti Jadon

The sudden outbreak and uncontrolled spread of COVID-19 disease is one of the most important global problems today. In a short period of time, it has led to the development of many deep neural network models for COVID-19 detection with…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-09 Weronika Hryniewska , Przemysław Bombiński , Patryk Szatkowski , Paulina Tomaszewska , Artur Przelaskowski , Przemysław Biecek

This paper discusses the aspects of data reliability and user privacy for the emerging practice of mobile phone based contact tracing for the COVID-19 pandemic. Various countries and large technology companies have already used or plan to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Georgios Magklaras , Lucia Nikolaia Lopez Bojorquez

At the time of this article, COVID-19 has been transmitted to more than 42 million people and resulted in more than 673,000 deaths across the United States. Throughout this pandemic, public health authorities have monitored the results of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Zhen Zhong , Ribhu Sengupta , Kamran Paynabar , Lance A. Waller

Major advances in public health have resulted from disease prevention. However, prevention of a new infectious disease by vaccination or pharmaceuticals is made difficult by the slow process of vaccine and drug development. We propose an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-15 Jussi Taipale , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sten Linnarsson

Quantifying COVID-19 infection over time is an important task to manage the hospitalization of patients during a global pandemic. Recently, deep learning-based approaches have been proposed to help radiologists automatically quantify…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Tobias Czempiel , Coco Rogers , Matthias Keicher , Magdalini Paschali , Rickmer Braren , Egon Burian , Marcus Makowski , Nassir Navab , Thomas Wendler , Seong Tae Kim

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have tried to keep their territories safe by isolating themselves from others, limiting non-essential travel and imposing mandatory quarantines for travelers. While large-scale quarantine has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-08 Olha Buchel , Anton Ninkov , Danise Cathel , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Leila Hedayatifar

Motivated by the ongoing pandemic COVID-19, we propose a closed-loop framework that combines inference from testing data, learning the parameters of the dynamics and optimal resource allocation for controlling the spread of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-27 Ashish R. Hota , Jaydeep Godbole , Philip E Paré

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

Until now, Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has caused more than 850,000 deaths and infected more than 27 million individuals in over 120 countries. Besides principal polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests, automatically identifying positive samples…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Duy M. H. Nguyen , Duy M. Nguyen , Huong Vu , Binh T. Nguyen , Fabrizio Nunnari , Daniel Sonntag

Studying the dynamics of COVID-19 is of paramount importance to understanding the efficiency of restrictive measures and develop strategies to defend against upcoming contagion waves. In this work, we study the spread of COVID-19 using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Alessandro Paticchio , Tommaso Scarlatti , Marios Mattheakis , Pavlos Protopapas , Marco Brambilla

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson