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There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

4D-variational data assimilation is applied to the Lorenz '63 model to introduce a new method for parameter estimation in chaotic climate models. The approach aims to optimise an Earth system model (ESM), for which no adjoint exists, by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-18 Philip David Kennedy , Abhirup Banerjee , Armin Köhl , Detlef Stammer

Earth system modeling presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing: capturing complex, multiscale nonlinear dynamics in computationally efficient models while minimizing forecast errors caused by necessary simplifications. Even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yongquan Qu , Matthieu Blanke , Sara Shamekh , Pierre Gentine

Covariance localization is a critical component of ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) and many current localization schemes simply dampen correlations as a function of distance. Increases in computational resources, broadening scope of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-27 Shay Gilpin , Matthias Morzfeld , Kevin K. Lin

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

The inverse problem of supervised reconstruction of depth-variable (time-dependent) parameters in a neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) is considered, that means finding the weights of a residual network with time continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 George Baravdish , Gabriel Eilertsen , Rym Jaroudi , B. Tomas Johansson , Lukáš Malý , Jonas Unger

Data assimilation (DA) in the geophysical sciences remains the cornerstone of robust forecasts from numerical models. Indeed, DA plays a crucial role in the quality of numerical weather prediction, and is a crucial building block that has…

Nonlinear vector autoregression (NVAR) and reservoir computing (RC) have shown promise in forecasting chaotic dynamical systems, such as the Lorenz-63 model and El Nino-Southern Oscillation. However, their reliance on fixed nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Azimov Sherkhon , Susana Lopez-Moreno , Eric Dolores-Cuenca , Sieun Lee , Sangil Kim

In the past couple of years, there is a proliferation in the use of machine learning approaches to represent subgrid scale processes in geophysical flows with an aim to improve the forecasting capability and to accelerate numerical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-13 Suraj Pawar , Omer San

Continual learning, the ability of a model to adapt to an ongoing sequence of tasks without forgetting earlier ones, is a central goal of artificial intelligence. To better understand its underlying mechanisms, we study the limitations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Taheri , Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar

In this paper, we propose a generic algorithm to train machine learning-based subgrid parametrizations online, i.e., with \textit{a posteriori} loss functions, but for non-differentiable numerical solvers. The proposed approach leverages a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-14 Hugo Frezat , Ronan Fablet , Guillaume Balarac , Julien Le Sommer

Recent studies have demonstrated that it is possible to combine machine learning with data assimilation to reconstruct the dynamics of a physical model partially and imperfectly observed. Data assimilation is used to estimate the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita

This work introduces a new class of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) methods grounded in data-consistent inversion (DCI) theory. The methods extend classical 4D-Var by incorporating a predictability-aware…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

We propose a new 'Bi-Reduced Space' approach to solving 3D Variational Data Assimilation using Convolutional Autoencoders. We prove that our approach has the same solution as previous methods but has significantly lower computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Julian Mack , Rossella Arcucci , Miguel Molina-Solana , Yi-Ke Guo

In this paper, we aim at providing an introduction to the gradient descent based optimization algorithms for learning deep neural network models. Deep learning models involving multiple nonlinear projection layers are very challenging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Jiawei Zhang

In this work, we aim at studying ensemble based optimal control strategies for data assimilation. Such formulation nicely combines the ingredients of ensemble Kalman filters and variational data assimilation (4DVar). In the same way as…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-01-17 Yin Yang , Cordelia Robinson , Dominique Heitz , Etienne Mémin

Four-dimensional weak-constraint variational data assimilation estimates a state given partial noisy observations and dynamical model by minimizing a cost function that takes into account both discrepancy between the state and observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Nazanin Abedini , Svetlana Dubinkina

Data assimilation (DA) is widely used to combine physical knowledge and observations. It is nowadays commonly used in geosciences to perform parametric calibration. In a context of climate change, old calibrations can not necessarily be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi