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In the linear regression model, the minimum l2-norm interpolant estimator has received much attention since it was proved to be consistent even though it fits noisy data perfectly under some condition on the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Guillaume Lecué , Zong Shang

Fitting a function by using linear combinations of a large number $N$ of `simple' components is one of the most fruitful ideas in statistical learning. This idea lies at the core of a variety of methods, from two-layer neural networks to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Adel Javanmard , Marco Mondelli , Andrea Montanari

Assisted by the availability of data and high performance computing, deep learning techniques have achieved breakthroughs and surpassed human performance empirically in difficult tasks, including object recognition, speech recognition, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Shaeke Salman , Xiuwen Liu

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

The classical parametric and semiparametric Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) results are reconsidered in a non-classical setup allowing finite samples and model misspecification. In the case of a finite dimensional nuisance parameter we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Maxim Panov , Vladimir Spokoiny

A fundamental problem in machine learning is understanding the effect of early stopping on the parameters obtained and the generalization capabilities of the model. Even for linear models, the effect is not fully understood for arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Rishi Sonthalia , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

We argue that in fully-connected networks a phase transition delimits the over- and under-parametrized regimes where fitting can or cannot be achieved. Under some general conditions, we show that this transition is sharp for the hinge loss.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Stefano Spigler , Mario Geiger , Stéphane d'Ascoli , Levent Sagun , Giulio Biroli , Matthieu Wyart

The phenomenon of benign overfitting, where a trained neural network perfectly fits noisy training data but still achieves near-optimal test performance, has been extensively studied in recent years for linear models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Roey Magen , Shuning Shang , Zhiwei Xu , Spencer Frei , Wei Hu , Gal Vardi

Benign overfitting is well-characterized in $\ell_2$ geometries, but its behavior under the $\ell_1$ implicit bias of greedy ensembles remains challenging. The analytical barrier stems from the non-linear coupling of coordinate selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ye Su , Jian Li , Yong Liu

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

This paper analyzes the generalization error of minimum-norm interpolating solutions in linear regression using spiked covariance data models. The paper characterizes how varying spike strengths and target-spike alignments can affect risk,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jiping Li , Rishi Sonthalia

Overparametrized models can exhibit an excellent generalization performance, although they should be prone to overfitting according to classical statistical theory. The discovery of the "double descent", indicating that the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Tino Werner

We propose a new picture of the renormalization group (RG) approach in the presence of disorder, which considers the RG trajectories of each random sample (realization) separately instead of the usual renormalization of the averaged free…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Karim Bernardet , Ferenc Pazmandi , G. G. Batrouni

Meta-learning has arisen as a successful method for improving training performance by training over many similar tasks, especially with deep neural networks (DNNs). However, the theoretical understanding of when and why overparameterized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Peizhong Ju , Yingbin Liang , Ness B. Shroff

This study demonstrates that double descent can be mitigated by adding a dropout layer adjacent to the fully connected linear layer. The unexpected double-descent phenomenon garnered substantial attention in recent years, resulting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Tian-Le Yang , Joe Suzuki

We analyze recurrent neural networks with diagonal hidden-to-hidden weight matrices, trained with gradient descent in the supervised learning setting, and prove that gradient descent can achieve optimality \emph{without} massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Semih Cayci , Atilla Eryilmaz

We establish precise structural and risk equivalences between subsampling and ridge regularization for ensemble ridge estimators. Specifically, we prove that linear and quadratic functionals of subsample ridge estimators, when fitted with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du

Recent empirical and theoretical analyses of several commonly used prediction procedures reveal a peculiar risk behavior in high dimensions, referred to as double/multiple descent, in which the asymptotic risk is a non-monotonic function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo

Recent research in neural networks and machine learning suggests that using many more parameters than strictly required by the initial complexity of a regression problem can result in more accurate or faster-converging models -- contrary to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Arthur Castello B. de Oliveira , Milad Siami , Eduardo D. Sontag

We study grokking, the onset of generalization long after overfitting, in a classical ridge regression setting. We prove end-to-end grokking results for learning over-parameterized linear regression models using gradient descent with weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Mingyue Xu , Gal Vardi , Itay Safran
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