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We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

In this paper we study the randomized non-autonomous complete linear differential equation. The diffusion coefficient and the source term in the differential equation are assumed to be stochastic processes and the initial condition is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 J. Catatayud , J. -C. Cortes , M. Jornet

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

To derive the auto-covariance function from a sampled and time-limited signal or the cross-covariance function from two such signals, the mean values must be estimated and removed from the signals. If no a priori information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Holger Nobach

As an extension of the theory of Dyson's Brownian motion models for the standard Gaussian random-matrix ensembles, we report a systematic study of hermitian matrix-valued processes and their eigenvalue processes associated with the chiral…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Makoto Katori , Hideki Tanemura

In a general counting process setting, we consider the problem of obtaining a prognostic on the survival time adjusted on covariates in high-dimension. Towards this end, we construct an estimator of the whole conditional intensity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Sarah Lemler

In many applications, it is often necessary to sample the mean value of certain quantity with respect to a probability measure {\mu} on the level set of a smooth function $\xi: \mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow \mathbb{R}^k$, $1\le k < d$. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Wei Zhang

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

We propose a new method of the construction of the asymptotically efficient estimator-processes asymptotically equivalent to the MLE and the same time much more easy to calculate. We suppose that the observed process is ergodic diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-09 Yury A. Kutoyants

The general properties of two-dimensional generalized Bessel functions are discussed. Various asymptotic approximations are derived and applied to analyze the basic structure of the two-dimensional Bessel functions as well as their nodal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-08-12 H. J. Korsch , A. Klumpp , D. Witthaut

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

In many applications there is interest in estimating the relation between a predictor and an outcome when the relation is known to be monotone or otherwise constrained due to the physical processes involved. We consider one such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Ander Wilson , Jessica Tryner , Christian L'Orange , John Volckens

We consider the problem of adaptive estimation of the regression function in a framework where we replace ergodicity assumptions (such as independence or mixing) by another structural assumption on the model. Namely, we propose adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-03 Sylvain Delattre , Stéphane Gaïffas

Data from experimental observations of a class of neurological processes (Freeman K-sets) present functional distribution reproducing Bessel function behavior. We model such processes with couples of damped/amplified oscillators which…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-30 Walter J. Freeman , Antonio Capolupo , Robert Kozma , Andres Olivares del Campo , Giuseppe Vitiello

Canonical characterization techniques that rely upon mean squared displacement ($\mathrm{MSD}$) break down for non-ergodic processes, making it challenging to characterize anomalous diffusion from an individual time-series measurement.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-21 Madhur Mangalam , Ralf Metzler , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in the theory of stochastic processes. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for one-dimensional diffusion processes, which include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Xian Chen , Yong Chen , Mumien Cheng , Chen Jia

This article improves on existing methods to estimate the spectral density of stationary and nonstationary time series assuming a Gaussian process prior. By optimising an appropriate eigendecomposition using a smoothing spline covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Nick James , Max Menzies

In this paper, we develop {finite-time horizon} causal filters using the nonanticipative rate distortion theory. We apply the {developed} theory to {design optimal filters for} time-varying multidimensional Gauss-Markov processes, subject…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Photios A. Stavrou , Themistoklis Charalambous , Charalambos D. Charalambous , Sergey Loyka

We study the existing algorithms that solve the multidimensional martingale optimal transport. Then we provide a new algorithm based on entropic regularization and Newton's method. Then we provide theoretical convergence rate results and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Hadrien De March

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi
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