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Intensive longitudinal biomarker data are increasingly common in scientific studies that seek temporally granular understanding of the role of behavioral and physiological factors in relation to outcomes of interest. Intensive longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Mingyan Yu , Zhenke Wu , Margaret Hicken , Michael R. Elliott

Performance evaluation of nursing homes is usually accomplished by the repeated administration of questionnaires aimed at measuring the health status of the patients during their period of residence in the nursing home. We illustrate how a…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Francesco Bartolucci , Monia Lupparelli , Giorgio E. Montanari

Characterizing the sleep-wake cycle in adolescents is an important prerequisite to better understand the association of abnormal sleep patterns with subsequent clinical and behavioral outcomes. The aim of this research was to develop hidden…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-22 Semhar B. Ogbagaber , Yifan Cui , Kaigang Li , Ronald J. Iannotti , Paul S. Albert

When learning a hidden Markov model (HMM), sequen- tial observations can often be complemented by real-valued summary response variables generated from the path of hid- den states. Such settings arise in numerous domains, includ- ing many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-17 Yizhe Zhang , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin , Jianling Zhong , Alexander J. Hartemink

Biomarker measurements obtained by blood sampling are often used as a non-invasive means of monitoring tumour progression in cancer patients. Diseases evolve dynamically over time, and studying longitudinal observations of specific…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta , Amélie Vernay

In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Swapna Vemparala , Fabio Di Troia , Corrado A. Visaggio , Thomas H. Austin , Mark Stamp

Understanding disease dynamics is crucial for managing wildlife populations and assessing spillover risk to domestic animals and humans, but infection data on free-ranging animals are difficult to obtain. Because pathogen and parasite…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-26 Dongmin Kim , Théo Michelot , Katherine Mertes , Jared A. Stabach , John Fieberg

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

Modeling a system's temporal behaviour in reaction to external stimuli is a fundamental problem in many areas. Pure Machine Learning (ML) approaches often fail in the small sample regime and cannot provide actionable insights beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Zhaozhi Qian , William R. Zame , Lucas M. Fleuren , Paul Elbers , Mihaela van der Schaar

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

The ability to predict the intentions of people based solely on their visual actions is a skill only performed by humans and animals. The intelligence of current computer algorithms has not reached this level of complexity, but there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-02-07 Michael DelRose , Christian Wagner , Philip Frederick

Electronic health records are being increasingly used in medical research to answer more relevant and detailed clinical questions; however, they pose new and significant methodological challenges. For instance, observation times are likely…

Health registers contain rich information about individuals' health histories. Here our interest lies in understanding how individuals' health trajectories evolve in a nationwide longitudinal dataset with coded features, such as clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Hans Moen , Vishnu Raj , Andrius Vabalas , Markus Perola , Samuel Kaski , Andrea Ganna , Pekka Marttinen

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are one of the most widely used statistical methods for analyzing sequence data. However, the reporting of output from HMMs has largely been restricted to the presentation of the most-probable (MAP) hidden state…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

Analysis of multivariate healthcare time series data is inherently challenging: irregular sampling, noisy and missing values, and heterogeneous patient groups with different dynamics violating exchangeability. In addition, interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Onur Poyraz , Pekka Marttinen

Critically ill patients in regular wards are vulnerable to unanticipated adverse events which require prompt transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU). To allow for accurate prognosis of deteriorating patients, we develop a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Ahmed M. Alaa , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

The objective of this study is to introduce methodology for studying longitudinal claims data observed at the patient level, with inference on the heterogeneity of healthcare utilization behaviors within large healthcare systems such as…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-04 Ross P. Hilton , Nicoleta Serban , Richard Y. Zheng

Machine learning models built on training data with multiple modalities can reveal new insights that are not accessible through unimodal datasets. For example, cardiac magnetic resonance images (MRIs) and electrocardiograms (ECGs) are both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bum Chul Kwon , Samuel Friedman , Kai Xu , Steven A Lubitz , Anthony Philippakis , Puneet Batra , Patrick T Ellinor , Kenney Ng