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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting more than 200 countries and territories worldwide. As of September 30, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 33…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh , Tirna Mahajan , Tejasvi Arora

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The coronavirus is a global event of historical proportions and just a few months changed the time series properties of the data in ways that make many pre-covid forecasting models inadequate. It also creates a new problem for estimation of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-22 Serena Ng

The recent history of respiratory pathogen epidemics, including those caused by influenza and SARS-CoV-2, has highlighted the urgent need for advanced modeling approaches that can accurately capture heterogeneous disease dynamics and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-07 Prescott C. Alexander , Thomas J. Harris , Joy Kitson , Joseph V. Tuccillo , Sara Y. Del Valle , Timothy C. Germann

Agent-based model (ABM) has been widely used to study infectious disease transmission by simulating behaviors and interactions of autonomous individuals called agents. In the ABM, agent states, for example infected or susceptible, are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Seungha Um , Samrachana Adhikari

Based on the official data modeling, this paper studies the transmission process of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The error between the model and the official data curve is within 3%. At the same time, it realized forward…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-17 Lixiang Li , Zihang Yang , Zhongkai Dang , Cui Meng , Jingze Huang , Hao Tian Meng , Deyu Wang , Guanhua Chen , Jiaxuan Zhang , Haipeng Peng

COVID-19 is a global epidemic. Till now, there is no remedy for this epidemic. However, isolation and social distancing are seemed to be effective preventive measures to control this pandemic. Therefore, in this paper, an optimization…

The prediction of spread patterns of COVID19 virus in India is very difficult due to its versatile demographic as well as meteorological data distribution. Various researchers across the globe have attempted to correlate the interdependency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-27 Raj Kishore , Bijaylaxmi Sahoo , Debadatta Swain , Kisor Kumar Sahu

The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the livelihoods of people worldwide prompted the implementation of a range of preventive measures at local, national, and international levels. Early in the outbreak, before the vaccine became…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-03 Pranav Verma , Viney Kumar , Samit Bhattacharyya

The ongoing Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major crisis that has significantly affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of various fields in scientific and technical research. To properly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

This paper uses Covasim, an agent-based model (ABM) of COVID-19, to evaluate and scenarios of epidemic spread in New York State (USA), the UK, and the Novosibirsk region (Russia). Epidemiological parameters such as contagiousness (virus…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Olga Krivorotko , Mariia Sosnovskaia , Ivan Vashchenko , Cliff Kerr , Daniel Lesnic

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has rapidly spread around the globe in 2020, with the U.S. becoming the epicenter of COVID-19 cases since late March. As the U.S. begins to gradually resume economic activity, it is imperative for…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Guangchun Ruan , Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang , Munther A. Dahleh , S. Sivaranjani , Le Xie

The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

We model further development of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK given the current data and assuming different scenarios of handling the epidemic. In this research, we further extend the stochastic model suggested in \cite{us} and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Anatoly Zhigljavsky , Roger Whitaker , Ivan Fesenko , Kobi Kremnizer , Jack Noonan

This paper develops an agent-based disease spread model on a contact network in an effort to guide efforts at surveillance testing in small to moderate facilities such as nursing homes and meat-packing plants. The model employs Monte Carlo…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Yanyue Ding , Sudesh K. Agrawal , Jincheng Cao , Lauren Meyers , John J. Hasenbein

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, emerged into a world being rapidly transformed by artificial intelligence (AI) based on big data, computational power and neural networks. The gaze of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Yipeng Hu , Joseph Jacob , Geoffrey JM Parker , David J Hawkes , John R Hurst , Danail Stoyanov

The COVID-19 pandemic began over two years ago, yet schools, businesses, and other organizations are still struggling to keep the risk of disease outbreak low while returning to (near) normal functionality. Observations from these past…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Sarah C. Fay , Dalton J. Jones , Munther A. Dahleh , A. E. Hosoi

The paper studies different regression approaches for modeling COVID-19 spread and its impact on the stock market. The logistic curve model was used with Bayesian regression for predictive analytics of the coronavirus spread. The impact of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko