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We examine the age-structured SIR model, a variant of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic propagation, in the context of COVID-19. In doing so, we provide a theoretical basis for the model, perform an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Rohit Parasnis , Ryosuke Kato , Amol Sakhale , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-18 Vishaal Ram , Laura P. Schaposnik

We analyse the infection-age-dependent SIR model from a numerical point of view. First, we present an algorithm for calculating the solution the infection-age-structured SIR model without demography of the background host. Second, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-29 Ralph Brinks , Annika Hoyer

This paper is devoted to the study of an age-structured SIRS epidemic model, in which a population affected by a disease is divided into susceptible, infected, and removed individuals. We assume that the force of infection may be nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Luisa Malaguti , Stefania Perrotta

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

We consider an age-structured epidemic model with two basic public health interventions: (i) identifying and isolating symptomatic cases, and (ii) tracing and quarantine of the contacts of identified infectives. The dynamics of the infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-13 Xi Huo

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

Infectious diseases spread through human networks. Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model is one of the epidemic models to describe infection dynamics on a complex network connecting individuals. In the metapopulation SIR model, each node…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-27 Kanako Mizuno , Kazue Kudo

An understanding of the disease spreading phenomenon based on a mathematical model is extremely needed for the implication of the correct policy measures to contain the disease propagation. Here, we report a new model namely the Ising-SIR…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Dipak Patra

Infectious disease transmission dynamics are particularly sensitive to social contact patterns, and the precautions people take to limit disease transmission. It depends on the age distribution of the community. Thus, knowing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Vijay Pal Bajiya , Jai Prakash Tripathi , Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay

The SIR-compartment model is among the simplest models that describe the spread of a disease through a population. The model makes the unrealistic assumption that the population through which the disease is spreading is well-mixed. Although…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

Strategies adopted globally to mitigate the threat of COVID-19 have primarily involved lockdown measures with substantial economic and social costs with varying degrees of success. Morbidity patterns of COVID-19 variants have a strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Daniel Dempsey , Suzanne van Osch , Stephen Kinsella , Kevin Burke , Jason Wyse , James Sweeney

We formulate an age-structured nonlinear partial differential equation model that features short-term immigration effects in a population. Individuals can immigrate into the population as any of the three stages in the model: susceptible,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-07 Fabio Sanchez , Juan Gabriel Calvo

We consider a spatial SIR epidemic model where the infectivity of infected individuals depends upon their age of infection, and infections are non local. The domain is an unbounded subset of $\R^d$,and the individuals do not move. We extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Armand Kanga , Etienne Pardoux

The non-population conserving SIR (SIR-NC) model to describe the spread of infections in a community is proposed and studied. Unlike the standard SIR model, SIR-NC does not assume population conservation. Although similar in form to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Vivek S. Borkar , D. Manjunath
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