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We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

Characterising the interactions between spiking neurons is central to our understanding of cognitive processes such as memory, perception and decision making. In this work, we consider the problem of inferring connectivity in the brain…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-25 Carla Pinkney , Carolina Euan , Alex Gibberd

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

Data-driven models for predicting dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems are of great importance due to their wide application from probabilistic analysis to inverse problems such as system identification and damage diagnosis. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Soheil Sadeghi Eshkevari , Martin Takáč , Shamim N. Pakzad , Majid Jahani

Sequential dependencies present a fundamental bottleneck in deploying large-scale autoregressive models, particularly for real-time applications. While traditional optimization approaches like pruning and quantization often compromise model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yunhai Hu , Zining Liu , Zhenyuan Dong , Tianfan Peng , Bradley McDanel , Sai Qian Zhang

We have developed a new framework using time-series analysis for dynamically assigning mobile network traffic prediction models in previously unseen wireless environments. Our framework selectively employs learned behaviors, outperforming…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alexander Downey , Evren Tuna , Alkan Soysal

Causal discovery studies the problem of mining causal relationships between variables from data, which is of primary interest in science. During the past decades, significant amount of progresses have been made toward this fundamental data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Kui Yu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu

Autoregressive and recurrent networks have achieved remarkable progress across various fields, from weather forecasting to molecular generation and Large Language Models. Despite their strong predictive capabilities, these models lack a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Dario Coscia , Max Welling , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Dynamical networks are versatile models that can describe a variety of behaviours such as synchronisation and feedback. However, applying these models in real world contexts is difficult as prior information pertaining to the connectivity…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Eugene Tan , Débora Corrêa , Thomas Stemler , Michael Small

Network inference, the task of reconstructing interactions in a complex system from experimental observables, is a central yet extremely challenging problem in systems biology. While much progress has been made in the last two decades,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-12 Stephen Y Zhang

This article presents a general framework for recovering missing dynamical systems using available data and machine learning techniques. The proposed framework reformulates the prediction problem as a supervised learning problem to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-20 John Harlim , Shixiao W. Jiang , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

Link prediction -- a task of distinguishing actual hidden edges from random unconnected node pairs -- is one of the quintessential tasks in graph machine learning. Despite being widely accepted as a universal benchmark and a downstream task…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Rachith Aiyappa , Xin Wang , Munjung Kim , Ozgur Can Seckin , Jisung Yoon , Yong-Yeol Ahn , Sadamori Kojaku

We propose a novel model-selection method for dynamic networks. Our approach involves training a classifier on a large body of synthetic network data. The data is generated by simulating nine state-of-the-art random graph models for dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lourens Touwen , Doina Bucur , Remco van der Hofstad , Alessandro Garavaglia , Nelly Litvak

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Link prediction is a key problem for network-structured data. Link prediction heuristics use some score functions, such as common neighbors and Katz index, to measure the likelihood of links. They have obtained wide practical uses due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Muhan Zhang , Yixin Chen

Inferring missing links or detecting spurious ones based on observed graphs, known as link prediction, is a long-standing challenge in graph data analysis. With the recent advances in deep learning, graph neural networks have been used for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Xingping Xian , Tao Wu , Xiaoke Ma , Shaojie Qiao , Yabin Shao , Chao Wang , Lin Yuan , Yu Wu

Regression is a fundamental prediction task common in data-centric engineering applications that involves learning mappings between continuous variables. In many engineering applications (e.g.\ structural health monitoring), feature-label…

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are widely used as a memory model for sequence-related problems. Many variants of RNN have been proposed to solve the gradient problems of training RNNs and process long sequences. Although some classical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-29 Chenpeng Zhang , Shuai Li , Mao Ye , Ce Zhu , Xue Li

Causal relationship recognition is a fundamental operation in neural networks aimed at learning behavior, action planning, and inferring external world dynamics. This operation is particularly crucial for reinforcement learning (RL). In the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Mikhail Kiselev , Denis Larionov , Andrey Urusov

This paper provides a general identification approach for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang
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