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The goal of a well-controlled study is to remove unwanted variation when estimating the causal effect of the intervention of interest. Experiments conducted in the basic sciences frequently achieve this goal using experimental controls,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Kristen B. Hunter , Kristen Koenig , Marie-Abèle Bind

Real-world experiments involve batched & delayed feedback, non-stationarity, multiple objectives & constraints, and (often some) personalization. Tailoring adaptive methods to address these challenges on a per-problem basis is infeasible,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Ethan Che , Daniel R. Jiang , Hongseok Namkoong , Jimmy Wang

Peer support is critical to managing chronic health conditions. Online health communities (OHCs) enable patients and caregivers to connect with similar others, yet their large scale makes it challenging to find the most relevant peers and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Pronob Kumar Barman , James R. Foulds , Tera L. Reynolds

Estimating the effects of interventions in networks is complicated when the units are interacting, such that the outcomes for one unit may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of many or all other units (i.e., there is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-15 Dean Eckles , Brian Karrer , Johan Ugander

Non-significant randomized control trials can hide subgroups of good responders to experimental drugs, thus hindering subsequent development. Identifying such heterogeneous treatment effects is key for precision medicine and many post-hoc…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Valentine Perrin , Nathan Noiry , Nicolas Loiseau , Alex Nowak

The Wisdom of Crowds (WOC), as a theory in the social science, gets a new paradigm in computer science. The WOC theory explains that the aggregate decision made by a group is often better than those of its individual members if specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Muhammad Yousefnezhad , Sheng-Jun Huang , Daoqiang Zhang

The notion of experiment precision quantifies the variance of user ratings in a subjective experiment. Although there exist measures that assess subjective experiment precision, there are no systematic analyses of these measures available…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Jakub Nawała , Tobias Hoßfeld , Lucjan Janowski , Michael Seufert

It is shown that personalization of web content can be advantageously viewed as a form of partial evaluation --- a technique well known in the programming languages community. The basic idea is to model a recommendation space as a program,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Naren Ramakrishnan

Paired cluster-randomized experiments (pCRTs) are common across many disciplines because there is often natural clustering of individuals, and paired randomization can help balance baseline covariates to improve experimental precision.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-03 Charlotte Z. Mann , Adam C. Sales , Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch

Every uncalibrated classifier has a corresponding true calibration map that calibrates its confidence. Deviations of this idealistic map from the identity map reveal miscalibration. Such calibration errors can be reduced with many post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Markus Kängsepp , Kaspar Valk , Meelis Kull

We propose a new framework for online testing of heterogeneous treatment effects. The proposed test, named sequential score test (SST), is able to control type I error under continuous monitoring and detect multi-dimensional heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Miao Yu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Confidence estimation (CE) indicates how reliable the answers of large language models are and impacts user trust and decision-making. Existing evaluations mainly concern the alignment between confidence and correctness, but ignore the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yuxi Xia , Dennis Ulmer , Terra Blevins , Yihong Liu , Hinrich Schütze , Benjamin Roth

Online controlled experiments, now commonly known as A/B testing, are crucial to causal inference and data driven decision making in many internet based businesses. While a simple comparison between a treatment (the feature under test) and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-05 Yu Guo , Alex Deng

Personalization is pervasive in the online space as, when combined with learning, it leads to higher efficiency and revenue by allowing the most relevant content to be served to each user. However, recent studies suggest that such…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-07-10 L. Elisa Celis , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning offers the chance of using observational data to improve future outcomes in domains such as healthcare and education, but safe deployment in high stakes settings requires ways of assessing its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Omer Gottesman , Joseph Futoma , Yao Liu , Sonali Parbhoo , Leo Anthony Celi , Emma Brunskill , Finale Doshi-Velez

Estimating personalized effects of treatments is a complex, yet pervasive problem. To tackle it, recent developments in the machine learning (ML) literature on heterogeneous treatment effect estimation gave rise to many sophisticated, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Jonathan Crabbé , Alicia Curth , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

We consider the problem of collaborative personalized mean estimation under a privacy constraint in an environment of several agents continuously receiving data according to arbitrary unknown agent-specific distributions. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yauhen Yakimenka , Chung-Wei Weng , Hsuan-Yin Lin , Eirik Rosnes , Jörg Kliewer

Human preference plays a significant role in measuring large language models and guiding them to align with human values. Unfortunately, current comparing-based evaluation (CBE) methods typically focus on a single optimization objective,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Peiwen Yuan , Shaoxiong Feng , Yiwei Li , Xinglin Wang , Yueqi Zhang , Jiayi Shi , Chuyi Tan , Boyuan Pan , Yao Hu , Kan Li

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) estimates the value of a target treatment policy (e.g., a recommender system) using data collected by a different logging policy. It enables high-stakes experimentation without live deployment, yet in practice…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Connor Douglas , Joel Persson , Foster Provost

The widespread adoption of online randomized controlled experiments (A/B Tests) for decision-making has created ongoing capacity constraints which necessitate interim analyses. As a consequence, platform users are increasingly motivated to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Abbas Zaidi , Rina Friedberg , Samir Khan , Yao-Yang Leow , Maulik Soneji , Houssam Nassif , Richard Mudd