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The effectiveness of long short term memory networks trained by backpropagation through time for stock price prediction is explored in this paper. A range of different architecture LSTM networks are constructed trained and tested.

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hengjian Jia

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

In the pursuit of further advancement in the field of target tracking, this paper explores the efficacy of a feedforward neural network in predicting drones tracks, aiming to eventually, compare the tracks created by the well-known Kalman…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Haya Ejjawi , Amal El Fallah Seghrouchni , Frederic Barbaresco , Raed Abu Zitar

We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-14 N. Serhan Aydin

Social goods, such as healthcare, smart city, and information networks, often produce ordered event data in continuous time. The generative processes of these event data can be very complex, requiring flexible models to capture their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Shuang Li , Shuai Xiao , Shixiang Zhu , Nan Du , Yao Xie , Le Song

A critical factor in trustworthy machine learning is to develop robust representations of the training data. Only under this guarantee methods are legitimate to artificially generate data, for example, to counteract imbalanced datasets or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Leon Scharwächter , Sebastian Otte

State estimation of dynamical systems in real-time is a fundamental task in signal processing. For systems that are well-represented by a fully known linear Gaussian state space (SS) model, the celebrated Kalman filter (KF) is a low…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Guy Revach , Nir Shlezinger , Xiaoyong Ni , Adria Lopez Escoriza , Ruud J. G. van Sloun , Yonina C. Eldar

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Algorithms are used in eCommerce product recommendation systems. These systems just recently began utilizing machine learning algorithms due to the development and growth of the artificial intelligence research community. This project…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Md. Zahurul Haque

Techniques based on Reinforcement Learning (RL) are increasingly being used to design control policies for robotic systems. RL fundamentally relies on state-based reward functions to encode desired behavior of the robot and bad reward…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Parv Kapoor , Anand Balakrishnan , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

We propose an approach to generate realistic and high-fidelity stock market data based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). Our Stock-GAN model employs a conditional Wasserstein GAN to capture history dependence of orders. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-09 Junyi Li , Xitong Wang , Yaoyang Lin , Arunesh Sinha , Micheal P. Wellman

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

Suppose $K_{_Y}$ and $K_{_X}$ are large sets of observed and reference signals, respectively, each containing $N$ signals. Is it possible to construct a filter $F$ that requires a priori information only on few signals, $p\ll N$, from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-12 Anatoli Torokhti

In the past, financial stock markets have been studied with previous generations of multi-agent systems (MAS) that relied on zero-intelligence agents, and often the necessity to implement so-called noise traders to sub-optimally emulate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-14 J. Lussange , S. Bourgeois-Gironde , S. Palminteri , B. Gutkin

Nowadays, machine learning methods have been widely used in stock prediction. Traditional approaches assume an identical data distribution, under which a learned model on the training data is fixed and applied directly in the test data.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-18 Chi Chen , Li Zhao , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Chunxiao Xing

Recurrent Neural Networks can be trained to produce sequences of tokens given some input, as exemplified by recent results in machine translation and image captioning. The current approach to training them consists of maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Samy Bengio , Oriol Vinyals , Navdeep Jaitly , Noam Shazeer

Here, we study machine learning (ML) architectures to solve a mean-field games (MFGs) system arising in price formation models. We formulate a training process that relies on a min-max characterization of the optimal control and price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Diogo Gomes , Julián Gutiérrez , Mathieu Laurière

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso