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The well-known Kalman filters model dynamical systems by relying on state-space representations with the next state updated, and its uncertainty controlled, by fresh information associated with newly observed system outputs. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Cesare Alippi , Daniele Zambon

In the trading process, financial signals often imply the time to buy and sell assets to generate excess returns compared to a benchmark (e.g., an index). Alpha is the portion of an asset's return that is not explained by exposure to this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Yining Wang , Jinman Zhao , Yuri Lawryshyn

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

We use a deep neural network to generate controllers for optimal trading on high frequency data. For the first time, a neural network learns the mapping between the preferences of the trader, i.e. risk aversion parameters, and the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Laura Leal , Mathieu Laurière , Charles-Albert Lehalle

Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) is used to replicate the signal combination process that trading rules embody when they aggregate multiple sources of financial information when predicting an asset's price movements. A set of financially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-30 Tristan Fletcher , Zakria Hussain , John Shawe-Taylor

De Facto, signal processing is the interpolation and extrapolation of a sequence of observations viewed as a realization of a stochastic process. Its role in applied statistics ranges from scenarios in forecasting and time series analysis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-12 Nozer D. Singpurwalla , Nicholas G. Polson , Refik Soyer

This article explores the use of machine learning models to build a market generator. The underlying idea is to simulate artificial multi-dimensional financial time series, whose statistical properties are the same as those observed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Edmond Lezmi , Jules Roche , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

Financial trading aims to build profitable strategies to make wise investment decisions in the financial market. It has attracted interests in the machine learning community for a long time. This paper proposes to trade financial assets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-14 Lin Li

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

An increasing share of energy is produced from renewable sources by many small producers. The efficiency of those sources is volatile and, to some extent, random, exacerbating the problem of energy market balancing. In many countries, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Łukasz Lepak , Paweł Wawrzyński

In this project, we propose to explore the Kalman filter's performance for estimating asset prices. We begin by introducing a stochastic mean-reverting processes, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model. After this we discuss the Kalman filter in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 Michael Sekatchev , Zhengxiang Zhou

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Collaborative filtering has been widely used in recommendation systems to recommend items that users might like. However, collaborative filtering based recommendation systems are vulnerable to shilling attacks. Malicious users tend to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Xin Liu , Yingyuan Xiao , Xu Jiao , Wenguang Zheng , Zihao Ling

Mining of formulaic alpha factors refers to the process of discovering and developing specific factors or indicators (referred to as alpha factors) for quantitative trading in stock market. To efficiently discover alpha factors in vast…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hong-Gi Shin , Sukhyun Jeong , Eui-Yeon Kim , Sungho Hong , Young-Jin Cho , Yong-Hoon Choi

We study a linear filtering problem where the signal and observation processes are described as solutions of linear stochastic differential equations driven by time-space Brownian sheets. We derive a stochastic integral equation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal , Frank Proske , Olena Tymoshenko

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström
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